Fresh grapes market in Kazakhstan

Earlier Report Observations

From 2018 to 2020, the fresh grapes market in Kazakhstan remained relatively stable, with volumes fluctuating between 141,000 t and 144,000 t. State support for agriculture, including subsidies and export incentives within the Eurasian Economic Union, along with harmonized quality and safety standards, helped sustain domestic production and trade. The market experienced a slight dip in 2020 as the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted supply chains and altered consumer demand patterns.

A significant surge occurred in 2021, with market volume jumping 24% to 175,000 t. This growth was fueled by the accelerated digital transformation of retail, including the rise of e-commerce platforms, which broadened product accessibility. Concurrently, increasing consumer preference for organic and high-quality fresh produce stimulated demand. However, the market contracted to 149,000 t in 2022 and fell sharply to 105,000 t in 2023. The pronounced decline in 2023 was largely attributable to tighter regulation of the alcohol market, specifically higher excise taxes and restrictions on retail sales, which reduced demand for grapes destined for winemaking.

Entering 2024, key market developments included the ongoing rollout of a mandatory national digital labeling system to enhance traceability and continued state measures to bolster domestic agricultural production, factors set to influence future market dynamics.

Production fresh grapes in Kazakhstan

In kind, 2017-2020, t

Top producers of fresh grapes, 2017-2020

World map of production of fresh grapes, 2017-2020

Kazakhstan's fresh grape production has grown for the third year in a row. In 2020, the country produced 95 061 tons of fresh grapes, marking a moderate increase of 5.2% compared to the previous year. From 2017 to 2020, production rose by 17%, which translates to an average annual growth rate of 5.4%.

Annual dynamics of production in Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020, t

Exports fresh grapes from Kazakhstan

Exports in kind, t

Kazakhstan's fresh grape exports have increased for the second consecutive year. In 2020, the country exported 22 614 tons of fresh grapes, up 13.4% from the previous year. Between 2017 and 2020, exports grew by 5.5%, with an average annual rate of 1.8%. The lowest export volume was recorded in 2018 at 19 712 tons, which also saw the largest decline of 8.1%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, Kazakhstan's fresh grape exports were highly concentrated, with Russia accounting for 99.4% of the total volume.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

The market performance showed noticeable fluctuations during this period. Kazakhstan exported 3 130 thousand US dollars worth of fresh grapes in 2020, a gradual decrease of 6.7% year-on-year. The highest value was recorded in 2018 at 6 017 thousand US dollars, which also saw the largest increase of 470.5%. The largest decline occurred in 2019, dropping by 44.2%. Overall, there was a 5.7-fold difference between the maximum in 2018 and the minimum in 2017.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

In value terms, Kazakhstan's fresh grape exports from 2017 to 2020 were highly concentrated, with Russia alone making up 99.5% of the total flows.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020

Imports fresh grapes to Kazakhstan

Imports in kind, t

Kazakhstan's fresh grape imports have declined for the third year in a row. In 2020, imports totaled 68 988 tons, down 6.3% from the previous year. Over the period from 2017 to 2020, imports fell by 28.4%, with an average annual decrease of 10.6%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, Uzbekistan was the dominant source for Kazakhstan's fresh grape imports, accounting for 86.2% of the total volume, while other countries made up the remainder.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

Kazakhstan's fresh grape imports in value terms have decreased for the third consecutive year. In 2020, imports amounted to 46 219 thousand US dollars, a drop of 29.1% compared to 2019. From 2017 to 2020, imports declined by 33.5%, with an average annual reduction of 12.7%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Throughout 2017 to 2020, Uzbekistan dominated Kazakhstan's fresh grape imports in value terms, representing 88.3% of the total flows, while other destinations contributed relatively small shares.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020