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Commodity and industrial market news — prices, production, trade and regulation — with expert analysis

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| Agriculture: Crops & Grains

Indonesia Links Cocoa Farm Renewal to Processing Push

Indonesia is pairing cocoa downstream development with a large-scale renewal and expansion of smallholder plantations. The program targets 247,260 hectares through 2027 as domestic processors operate at only 51% of their combined 700,000-tonne capacity.

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Ana Lucia Fernandes
Senior Agricultural Commodities Analyst
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| Agriculture: Crops & Grains

South Korea Applies Agricultural Price Guarantees to Garlic and Onions

South Korea will apply its agricultural price-stabilization system to garlic and onions for the first time. Eligible growers may receive compensation when average harvest prices fall below a benchmark set at around 80% of normal wholesale prices.

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Ana Lucia Fernandes
Senior Agricultural Commodities Analyst
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| Energy & Fuels

HSBC expects oil market imbalance to persist until mid-2027

HSBC expects geopolitical tensions and constrained flows through the Strait of Hormuz to keep the global oil market out of balance until at least mid-2027. The bank raised its 2026 Brent forecast to $90 a barrel, while continued conflict could push prices toward $120.

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Priya Raghavan
Energy Markets Analyst
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| Agriculture: Crops & Grains

Weak Monsoon and Higher Import Costs Push Indian Pigeon-Pea Prices Up

Indian pigeon-pea prices are rising as rainfall deficits threaten crops in Maharashtra and Karnataka, which account for more than two-thirds of national production. A weaker rupee is also increasing the likely cost of imports needed to cover the domestic supply gap.

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Ana Lucia Fernandes
Senior Agricultural Commodities Analyst
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| Food & Beverages

US milk production expands as farms raise yields and processors add capacity

US milk and dairy-solids production continues to grow as farms improve yields and processors expand cheese and ingredient capacity. With fluid-milk demand broadly stagnant, additional supply is increasingly tied to export markets, although water, environmental and cost pressures remain significant.

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Isabella Romano
Lead Food & Beverage Analyst
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| Food & Beverages

Argentina's dairy exports hit record 259,282 tonnes and US$987 million in first seven months of 2026

Argentina exported 259,282 tonnes of dairy products worth US$987 million between January and July 2026, a record in both volume and value, according to the Argentine Dairy Chain Observatory (OCLA). Brazil absorbed 51.2% of shipments, while exports took 28.7% of national milk production. The record was set with average unit prices 5.1% below last year.

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Isabella Romano
Lead Food & Beverage Analyst
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| Chemicals & Fertilizers

Belarus Lifts Peat Product Exports by 23%, With China and CIS as Top Buyers

Belarus has increased exports of peat-based nutrient soils, substrates and fertilisers by 23%, with China and CIS states the most active buyers, according to MIR 24. Demand for heating briquettes has fallen while processed growing media move to the front of the industry. A Vitebsk region site extracts about 200 tonnes a day from reserves of 2.5 billion tonnes.

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Rajesh Nair
Chemicals & Fertilizers Analyst
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| Energy & Fuels

Russian eastbound coal exports hit August record of 10.6 million tonnes

Russian Railways carried a record 10.6 million tonnes of export coal eastward in August 2026, up 6.1% year on year. Demand from Asian markets, led by China, supported growth despite the capacity constraints inherent in the Baikal-Amur Mainline and Trans-Siberian Railway corridors.

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Priya Raghavan
Energy Markets Analyst
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