Fresh grapes market in Guatemala

Earlier Report Observations

In 2018, climatic factors led to low and medium harvest phases in key departments like Jalapa and Jutiapa, affecting local grape production and market supply. Simultaneously, evolving climate conditions and crop development in the U.S. generated volatility in international markets, indirectly impacting Guatemala. Despite this, market volume rose to 31 188 t in 2019, supported by increased imports, while international prices and competition from other producers, such as Brazil following the depreciation of the real, created pressure on the agricultural sector. The market corrected to 30 460 t in 2020.

By 2021, the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock, and Food (MAGA) maintained market information systems and crop monitoring, which contributed to better organization and regulation of the agricultural market, supporting a rise in fresh grape market volume to 31 649 t. In 2022, climatic factors again influenced supply, with main sourcing from departments like Alta Verapaz and Guatemala, and the strength of the Brazilian real along with international oil prices further affected prices and availability. This led to another increase in market volume to 32 519 t, albeit with fluctuations in product inflow.

In 2023, the market volume stabilized at 32 051 t, marking a slight decrease from the 2022 peak. Over the full period from 2018 to 2023, Guatemala's fresh grapes market showed moderate growth from 30 200 t to 32 051 t, with climatic conditions, international price dynamics, and government support systems remaining key influences.

Production fresh grapes in Guatemala

In kind, 2017-2020, t

Top producers of fresh grapes, 2017-2020

World map of production of fresh grapes, 2017-2020

Guatemala's fresh grape production experienced a two-year rise before declining. In 2019, production reached its peak at 20 529 tonnes. The following year, in 2020, output fell to 20 197 tonnes, representing a modest decrease of 1.6% compared to 2019. The most significant growth occurred in 2018, with a 1.7% increase.

Annual dynamics of production in Guatemala in kind, 2017-2020, t

Exports fresh grapes from Guatemala

Exports in kind, t

The market demonstrated volatility throughout the observed period. In 2017, exports reached their highest level, while 2018 saw the lowest volume at just 3 tonnes, creating a peak-to-trough ratio of 40 times. By 2019, exports surged dramatically with a 2 487.2% increase. However, in 2020, Guatemala exported 50 tonnes of fresh grapes, marking a substantial year-over-year decline of 24.9%. The most significant drop occurred in 2018, with a 97.5% decrease.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Guatemala in kind, 2017-2020, t

Between 2017 and 2020, El Salvador served as the primary export destination for Guatemala's fresh grapes, accounting for 84.2% of total export volumes. Other markets represented a long tail of smaller trading partners.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Guatemala in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

The data reveals irregular fluctuations, indicating a volatile market environment. In 2017, export values peaked, while 2018 recorded the lowest value at 9 thousand US dollars, showing a 21-fold swing between these years. A dramatic recovery followed in 2019 with a 1 601.5% increase. However, by 2020, Guatemala's fresh grape exports totaled 99 thousand US dollars, representing a steep year-over-year decline of 33.2%. The most significant decrease occurred in 2018, with a 95.2% drop.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Guatemala in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, El Salvador remained the key destination for Guatemala's fresh grape exports in value terms, accounting for 88.0% of total export value. Other destinations played much less significant roles in the export structure.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Guatemala in value, 2017-2020

Imports fresh grapes to Guatemala

Imports in kind, t

After rising for two consecutive years, Guatemala's fresh grape imports declined. In 2019, imports reached their maximum at 10 725 tonnes. The following year, in 2020, imports totaled 10 313 tonnes, marking a moderate decrease of 3.8% compared to 2019. Throughout the 2017-2020 period, imports grew by 19.9%, with a compound annual growth rate of 6.2%. The most substantial increase occurred in 2018, with a 16.2% rise.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Guatemala in kind, 2017-2020, t

Between 2017 and 2020, the United States (51.9% of import volume), Peru (24.1%), and Chile (18.8%) were the main sources for Guatemala's fresh grape imports. Together, these three countries accounted for 94.9% of total import flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Guatemala in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

Guatemala's fresh grape imports increased for the third consecutive year. In 2020, import value reached 22 241 thousand US dollars, representing a 3.2% year-over-year advance. Over the 2017-2020 period, imports grew by 18.7%, with a compound annual growth rate of 5.9%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Guatemala in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Throughout 2017-2020, the United States (54.8% of import value), Peru (22.9%), and Chile (17.3%) played the leading roles in Guatemala's fresh grape imports by value. Collectively, these three countries accounted for 95.0% of total import flows.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Guatemala in value, 2017-2020