Market research

Fresh grapes market in Tajikistan

Release date: Mar 28, 2026

Submission: 15 minutes after payment

Research period: 2017-2025

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Earlier Report Observations

From 2018 to 2021, the fresh grapes market in Tajikistan expanded from 223 thousand tonnes to 263 thousand tonnes, primarily supported by state-led horticulture development programs. The launch of the food safety program in 2021 further contributed to this growth. However, in 2020, the market volume contracted as exports to the Russian Federation surged by 85.7% in value terms, reducing domestic availability.

A severe winter in 2022 destroyed a large portion of vineyards, leading to a sharp drop in production and driving the market volume down to 181 thousand tonnes in 2023. During this period, the market also faced increasing international competition due to rising demand for seedless varieties in Europe and Asia, for which Tajikistan had not fully adapted its production.

By 2024, recovery efforts were underway with the restoration of vineyard areas and the launch of a new development program for horticulture, viticulture, and citrus cultivation for 2025-2029. Additionally, a requirement to label the country of origin on price tags took effect in September 2024, affecting retail practices.

Table of content

1. Disclaimer
2. Terms of use of the report
3. Product codes in the statistical classifications used in the report
4. Key Market Indicators and Trends
1. 4.1. Key Market Indicators
  1. 4.1.1. In kind
    1. 4.1.1.1. Production, 2018-2023
    2. 4.1.1.2. Imports, 2018-2024
    3. 4.1.1.3. Exports, 2018-2024
    4. 4.1.1.4. Market size, 2018-2023
2. 4.2. Market Trends and Factors
5. Production
1. 5.1. Production in Tajikistan
  1. 5.1.1. Annual dynamics of production in Tajikistan in kind, 2018-2023, K t
  2. 5.1.2. Annual dynamics of production in Tajikistan in value, 2018-2023, $ US
2. 5.2. Global production by Country, 2018-2023
  1. 5.2.1. Annual dynamics of production by macroregions in kind, 2018-2023, K t
  2. 5.2.2. Dynamics of production structure by macroregions in kind, 2018-2023
  3. 5.2.3. Annual dynamics of production by country in kind, 2018-2023, K t
  4. 5.2.4. Structure of production by countries in kind, 2018-2023
  5. 5.2.5. Dynamics of peoduction structure by countries in kind, 2018-2023
6. Exports
1. 6.1. Exports (Direct Data*)
  1. 6.1.1. Exports - Total information
  2. 6.1.2. Exports in kind, t
    1. 6.1.2.1. Annual dynamics of product's exports from Tajikistan in kind, 2018-2024, t
    2. 6.1.2.2. Dynamics of product's exports in kind from Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, t
    3. 6.1.2.3. Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2018-2024
  3. 6.1.3. Exports in value, K $ US
    1. 6.1.3.1. Annual dynamics of product's exports from Tajikistan in value, 2018-2024, K $ US
    2. 6.1.3.2. Dynamics of product's exports in value from Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, K $ US
    3. 6.1.3.3. Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2018-2024
  4. 6.1.4. Average price of product's exports, $ US/t
    1. 6.1.4.1. Annual dynamics of average price of product's exports from Tajikistan, 2018-2024, $ US/t
    2. 6.1.4.2. Dynamics of average price of product's exports from Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, $ US/t
2. 6.2. Exports (Mirror Data)
  1. 6.2.1. Exports - Total information
  2. 6.2.2. Exports in kind, t
    1. 6.2.2.1. Annual dynamics of product's exports from Tajikistan in kind, 2018-2024, t
    2. 6.2.2.2. Dynamics of product's exports in kind from Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, t
    3. 6.2.2.3. Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2018-2024
  3. 6.2.3. Exports in value, K $ US
    1. 6.2.3.1. Annual dynamics of product's exports from Tajikistan in value, 2018-2024, K $ US
    2. 6.2.3.2. Dynamics of product's exports in value from Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, K $ US
    3. 6.2.3.3. Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2018-2024
  4. 6.2.4. Average price of product's exports, $ US/t
    1. 6.2.4.1. Annual dynamics of average price of product's exports from Tajikistan, 2018-2024, $ US/t
    2. 6.2.4.2. Dynamics of average price of product's exports from Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, $ US/t
7. Imports
1. 7.1. Imports (Direct Data*)
  1. 7.1.1. Imports - Total information
  2. 7.1.2. Imports in kind, t
    1. 7.1.2.1. Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in kind, 2018-2024, t
    2. 7.1.2.2. Dynamics of product's imports in kind to Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, t
    3. 7.1.2.3. Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2018-2024
  3. 7.1.3. Imports in value, K $ US
    1. 7.1.3.1. Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in value, 2018-2024, K $ US
    2. 7.1.3.2. Dynamics of product's imports in value to Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, K $ US
    3. 7.1.3.3. Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2018-2024
  4. 7.1.4. Average price of product's imports, $ US/t
    1. 7.1.4.1. Annual dynamics of average price of product's imports to Tajikistan, 2018-2024, $ US/t
    2. 7.1.4.2. Dynamics of average price of product's imports to Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, $ US/t
2. 7.2. Imports (Mirror Data)
  1. 7.2.1. Imports - Total information
  2. 7.2.2. Imports in kind, t
    1. 7.2.2.1. Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in kind, 2018-2024, t
    2. 7.2.2.2. Dynamics of product's imports in kind to Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, t
    3. 7.2.2.3. Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2018-2024
  3. 7.2.3. Imports in value, K $ US
    1. 7.2.3.1. Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in value, 2018-2024, K $ US
    2. 7.2.3.2. Dynamics of product's imports in value to Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, K $ US
    3. 7.2.3.3. Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2018-2024
  4. 7.2.4. Average price of product's imports, $ US/t
    1. 7.2.4.1. Annual dynamics of average price of product's imports to Tajikistan, 2018-2024, $ US/t
    2. 7.2.4.2. Dynamics of average price of product's imports to Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, $ US/t
8. Trade balance
1. 8.1. Trade balance (Direct Data)
  1. 8.1.1. In kind, t
  2. 8.1.2. In value, K $ US
2. 8.2. Trade balance (Mirror Data)
  1. 8.2.1. In kind, t
  2. 8.2.2. In value, K $ US
9. Top buying and selling countries, 2018-2024
1. 9.1. Direct Data
  1. 9.1.1. Import in Value by Countries-buyers
  2. 9.1.2. Export in Value by Countries-suppliers
2. 9.2. Mirror Data
  1. 9.2.1. Import in Value by Countries-buyers
  2. 9.2.2. Export in Value by Countries-suppliers

Production fresh grapes in Tajikistan

In kind, 2017-2020, K t

Top producers of fresh grapes, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

World map of production of fresh grapes, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

Fresh grape production in Tajikistan declined after two years of growth. In 2019, production reached its peak at 247.2 thousand tons, but then fell to 239.1 thousand tons in 2020, marking a 3.3% decrease from the previous year. Over the period from 2017 to 2020, production increased by 4.7%, which translates to an average annual growth rate of 1.6%. The largest year-on-year increase occurred in 2018, with a rise of 6.0%.

Annual dynamics of production in Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020, K t

Parameter		2018	2019	2020	CAGR
1	Change from last year	6.0%	2.2%	(3.3%)	1.6%

Source: SHEV.io

In value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Tajikistan's fresh grape production value rose for the second consecutive year. In 2020, the output was valued at 45 434 thousand US dollars, up 5.1% from the previous year. The lowest value was recorded in 2018 at 35 686 thousand US dollars, which saw a decline of 22.7%. In contrast, 2019 experienced the largest increase, with production value growing by 21.1%.

Annual dynamics of production in Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Parameter		2018	2019	2020	CAGR
1	Change from last year	(22.7%)	21.1%	5.1%	(0.5%)

Source: SHEV.io

Exports fresh grapes from Tajikistan

Exports in kind, t

After two years of decline, Tajikistan's fresh grape export volume increased. In 2019, exports hit their lowest point at 8 807 tons, with a significant drop of 52.5% that year. However, in 2020, exports rebounded to 9 024 tons, showing a 2.5% year-over-year growth. From 2017 to 2020, overall exports decreased by 54%, averaging an annual decline of 22.8%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020, t

Parameter		2018	2019	2020	CAGR
1	Change from last year	(5.5%)	(52.5%)	2.5%	(22.8%)

Source: SHEV.io

From 2017 to 2020, Pakistan, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan were the key partners for Tajikistan's fresh grape exports in volume terms. Pakistan accounted for 42.6% of exports, Kazakhstan for 27.4%, and Kyrgyzstan for 27.0%. Together, these three countries made up 96.9% of total export flows.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

World map of product's exports from Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

Exports in value, K $ US

Following a two-year drop, Tajikistan's fresh grape export value increased. In 2019, exports reached their minimum at 1 540 thousand US dollars, declining by 43.7% that year. In 2020, exports rose to 1 715 thousand US dollars, an 11.3% increase from the previous year. Over the 2017-2020 period, export value fell by 56.8%, with an average annual decrease of 24.4%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Parameter		2018	2019	2020	CAGR
1	Change from last year	(31.0%)	(43.7%)	11.3%	(24.4%)

Source: SHEV.io

Between 2017 and 2020, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Pakistan emerged as the main markets for Tajikistan's fresh grape exports in value terms. Kazakhstan held a 30.0% share, Kyrgyzstan 29.9%, and Pakistan 28.7%. Collectively, these three countries represented 88.6% of total export flows.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

World map of product's exports from Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

Imports fresh grapes to Tajikistan

Imports in kind, t

Tajikistan's fresh grape import volume remained broadly stable in 2020 at 7 tons, showing little change from the previous year. Over the 2017-2020 period, imports surged by 684.9%, with an average annual growth rate of 98.7%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020, t

Parameter		2018	2019	2020	CAGR
1	Change from last year	n/a	n/a	n/a	98.7%

Source: SHEV.io

From 2017 to 2020, South Africa dominated Tajikistan's fresh grape imports in volume terms, accounting for 100.0% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

World map of product's imports to Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

Imports in value, K $ US

In 2020, Tajikistan's fresh grape import value was 15 thousand US dollars, with minimal change from the previous year. Between 2017 and 2020, imports grew by 693%, averaging an annual increase of 99.4%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Parameter		2018	2019	2020	CAGR
1	Change from last year	n/a	n/a	n/a	99.4%

Source: SHEV.io

During 2017-2020, Tajikistan's reliance on South Africa was pronounced in value terms, as this market accounted for 100.0% of total fresh grape imports.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

World map of product's imports to Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io