Milled rice and broken rice market Turkey

Earlier Report Observations

From 2018 to 2020, the Turkish milled and broken rice market grew from 694 thousand tons to 843 thousand tons, supported by a zero customs duty policy on rice, husked rice, and broken rice. This measure facilitated import flows, which contributed to market expansion. During this period, consumption patterns shifted as broken rice became more widely used in traditional dishes like dolma and desserts, sustaining demand. Additionally, improvements in the quality and variety of domestic rice, including the rising popularity of baldo and basmati types, strengthened the market foundation.

A sharp contraction to 674 thousand tons occurred in 2021, primarily due to a significant drop in imports. The market then recovered strongly, reaching 807 thousand tons in 2022 and 967 thousand tons in 2023. This rebound was underpinned by the continued zero customs duty, which kept import channels open. Concurrently, the production and consumption of broken rice kept rising, accompanied by heightened quality standards in packaging and sales. By 2023, global supply chain disruptions—including India's export ban on broken rice, the war in Ukraine, and adverse weather in China and Pakistan—created tightness in supply, contributing to higher prices and increased market value.

Looking ahead to 2024, expectations point toward a market correction with a potential supply surplus and easing prices. The trend of growing broken rice consumption persists, particularly in prepared foods, while domestic producers continue to enhance the quality and diversity of their offerings.

Production milled rice and broken rice Turkey

In kind, 2017-2020, K t

Top producers of milled rice and broken rice, 2017-2020

World map of production of milled rice and broken rice, 2017-2020

Turkey's production of milled rice and broken rice has grown for the second year in a row. In 2020, the country produced 680.3 K t, marking a 5.0% increase from 2019. Over the 2017-2020 period, production rose by 9.6%, with an average annual growth rate of 3.1%. The lowest output was in 2018 at 586.9 K t, which saw the largest decline of 5.4%. Conversely, 2019 recorded the biggest increase at 10.4%.

Annual dynamics of production Turkey in kind, 2017-2020, K t

In value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Turkey's production value of milled rice and broken rice has increased for the third consecutive year. In 2020, the output was valued at 352.6 M $ US, showing a slight rise of 1.3% compared to the previous year. From 2017 to 2020, production value grew by 2.1%, with a compound annual growth rate of 0.7%.

Annual dynamics of production Turkey in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Exports milled rice and broken rice to Turkey

Exports in kind, K t

Following a two-year decline, Turkey's exports of milled rice and broken rice have rebounded. In 2020, exports reached 233.8 K t, a significant 15.9% increase from the year before. However, over the 2017-2020 period, exports fell by 15.6%, with an average annual decrease of 5.5%. The lowest export volume was in 2019 at 201.7 K t, and the largest drop occurred in 2018 at 23.3%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports to Turkey in kind, 2017-2020, K t

From 2017 to 2020, the three largest markets for Turkey's exports in kind were Iraq, Syria, and Libya, which together accounted for 71.3% of total export flows.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports to Turkey in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, M $ US

After a two-year decrease, Turkey's foreign supplies of milled rice and broken rice in value terms have increased. In 2020, exports amounted to 121.2 M $ US, rising by 11.9% year-over-year. Despite this, over the 2017-2020 period, export value declined by 21.4%, with a compound annual decrease of 7.7%. The lowest value was recorded in 2019 at 108.3 M $ US, and the largest decline was in 2018 at 18.6%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports to Turkey in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

During 2017-2020, Iraq, Syria, and Libya formed the main cluster of markets for Turkey's exports in value terms, with shares of 30.7%, 23.0%, and 17.3% respectively, totaling 71.0% of all export flows.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports to Turkey in value, 2017-2020

Imports milled rice and broken rice in Turkey

Imports in kind, K t

In 2020, Turkey's imports of milled rice and broken rice totaled 396.4 K t, a moderate decrease of 3.6% from the previous year. Over the 2017-2020 period, imports increased by 6.1%, with an average annual growth rate of 2.0%. The lowest import volume was in 2018 at 319.2 K t, which saw the largest decline of 14.5%. In contrast, 2019 had the highest volume at 411.0 K t, with the largest increase of 28.7%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports in Turkey in kind, 2017-2020, K t

Throughout 2017-2020, China, India, and Italy were the key sources for Turkey's imports in kind, accounting for 42.4%, 19.5%, and 8.0% respectively, and together making up 69.9% of total import flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports in Turkey in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, M $ US

Turkey's import value of milled rice and broken rice has grown for the second consecutive year. In 2020, imports amounted to 206.0 M $ US, remaining broadly stable compared to the previous year. Over the 2017-2020 period, import value increased by 12.1%, with a compound annual growth rate of 3.9%. The lowest value was in 2018 at 170.1 M $ US, which saw the largest decline of 7.5%, while 2019 recorded the biggest increase at 20.5%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports in Turkey in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

From 2017 to 2020, China, India, and Italy formed the core group of markets for Turkey's imports in value terms, with shares of 33.3%, 19.7%, and 12.8% respectively, representing 65.8% of total import flows.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports in Turkey in value, 2017-2020