Grape juice market in Central Asia

Earlier Report Observations

The grape juice market in Central Asia experienced notable shifts from 2018 to 2023. After starting at 18.4 million liters in 2018, supported by an increased grape harvest in Tajikistan that boosted domestic supply, the market volume fell to 13.9 million liters in 2019. It recovered to 19.1 million liters in 2020, a year in which external challenges were met with resilient demand from trade partners.

A strong expansion phase began in 2021, with market volume rising to 23.0 million liters, aided by a 25% increase in Tajik grape exports to Russia that enhanced raw material availability. Growth accelerated to a peak of 31.9 million liters in 2022, driven by record grape harvests in Tajikistan and sustained state support for viticulture. In 2023, the market softened to 28.7 million liters, coinciding with a shift in Russian consumer preferences toward alternative beverages and continued growth in Tajik grape exports, which may have diverted some fruit from juice processing.

Production grape juice in Central Asia

In kind, 2017-2020, K l

Top producers of grape juice, 2017-2020

World map of production of grape juice, 2017-2020

Following two consecutive years of decline, Central Asia's grape juice production rebounded in 2020. That year, the region produced 20 105 thousand liters of grape juice, marking a significant year-over-year increase of 12.4%. However, looking at the broader period from 2017 to 2020, overall production actually decreased by 22.9%, which translates to an average annual decline of 8.3%. The lowest production level was recorded in 2019 at 17 890 thousand liters. The most substantial single-year drop occurred in 2018, when production fell by 19.3%.

Annual dynamics of production in Central Asia in kind, 2017-2020, K l

In value, 2017-2020, K $ US

After experiencing losses for two years, the value of Central Asia's grape juice production showed an increase in 2020. The output was valued at 25 243 thousand US dollars that year, representing a 5.6% rise compared to 2019. Despite this recent uptick, the overall trend from 2017 to 2020 was negative, with total production value declining by 22.9% over the period, equivalent to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -8.3%. The lowest value was recorded in 2019 at 23 899 thousand US dollars, which also saw the largest percentage decline of 26.9%.

Annual dynamics of production in Central Asia in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Exports grape juice from Central Asia

Exports in kind, K l

In 2020, Central Asia's grape juice exports totaled 4 290 thousand liters, reflecting a substantial year-over-year decrease of 18.4%. Over the four-year span from 2017 to 2020, exports declined by 17.1%, averaging an annual reduction of 6.1%. The lowest export volume was recorded in 2018 at 4 032 thousand liters, while the peak occurred in 2019 with 5 255 thousand liters. The most significant drop took place in 2018, falling by 22.1%, whereas the largest increase was observed in 2019, rising by 30.3%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Central Asia in kind, 2017-2020, K l

From 2017 to 2020, Russia, Armenia, and Turkey consistently served as the primary destinations for Central Asia's grape juice exports by volume. Russia accounted for 16.2% of total exports in kind, Armenia for 1.6%, and Turkey for 0.8%. Together, these three markets represented 18.6% of all export flows during this period.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Central Asia in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

Central Asia's grape juice exports were valued at 5 386 thousand US dollars in 2020, indicating a sharp 23.3% decrease compared to the previous year. Over the 2017-2020 period, the total value of exports fell by 17.1%, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -6.1%. The highest export value was recorded in 2019 at 7 020 thousand US dollars, which also saw the largest annual increase of 12.1%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Central Asia in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Between 2017 and 2020, Russia, Armenia, and Turkey formed the core market cluster for Central Asia's grape juice exports by value. Russia held a 20.1% share of total export value, while Armenia and Turkey each accounted for 1.0%. Collectively, these three countries represented 22.0% of all export flows in monetary terms.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Central Asia in value, 2017-2020

Imports grape juice to Central Asia

Imports in kind, K l

Import volumes for grape juice in Central Asia showed irregular fluctuations between 2017 and 2020, pointing to a volatile market environment. The lowest import level was recorded in 2017, while the peak occurred in 2020, creating a 4.4-fold difference between these two years. In 2020 specifically, imports reached 3 267 thousand liters, representing a dramatic 157.8% surge compared to 2019. The most notable decline took place in 2019, when imports fell by 8.4%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Central Asia in kind, 2017-2020, K l

From 2017 to 2020, Russia and Iran were the most significant contributors to Central Asia's grape juice imports by volume. Together, these two countries accounted for 2.2% of total import flows during this period.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Central Asia in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

After two years of growth, the value of grape juice imports into Central Asia declined in 2020. Total imports were valued at 5 042 thousand US dollars that year, reflecting a 17.2% decrease from 2019. However, over the broader 2017-2020 timeframe, import value actually increased by 2.8%, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.9%. The highest import value was recorded in 2019 at 6 086 thousand US dollars, while the largest annual increase occurred in 2018, rising by 15.7%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Central Asia in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

During the 2017-2020 period, Russia, Iran, and France remained the principal suppliers of grape juice to Central Asia by value. Russia accounted for 1.5% of total import value, Iran for 1.4%, and France for 1.1%. Together, these three countries represented 4.0% of all imports in monetary terms.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Central Asia in value, 2017-2020