Cereal germ market in CIS

Earlier Report Observations

The cereal germ market in the CIS began the period under the influence of updated grain safety regulations, which introduced stricter quality control and labeling requirements from July 2018. This regulatory foundation was followed by the introduction of a flexible grain export duty in 2020, designed to regulate shipments in response to global price fluctuations. This measure reduced export volumes and increased domestic availability, contributing to a significant expansion of the market to 1 093 thousand tons that year.

The full launch of the floating export duty mechanism in June 2021 temporarily recalibrated trade flows, coinciding with a contraction in market volume. However, the subsequent completion of market access procedures for related grain products to China in 2022 provided new export incentives, supporting a recovery in production and helping the market volume regain ground to 1 083 thousand tons.

The signing of a major 12-year grain supply agreement with China in 2023 solidified long-term export prospects, encouraging producers to increase output. This drove production to a new high and supported further market growth, with the domestic market volume reaching 1 135 thousand tons by the end of 2023.

Production cereal germ in CIS

In kind, 2017-2020, K t

Top producers of cereal germ, 2017-2020

World map of production of cereal germ, 2017-2020

Cereal germ production in the CIS has grown for the third year in a row. In 2020, the region produced 1 119 thousand tons of cereal germ, representing an 11.5% increase from the previous year. From 2017 to 2020, production surged by 96.4%, which translates to an average annual growth rate of 25.2%.

Annual dynamics of production in CIS in kind, 2017-2020, K t

Exports cereal germ from CIS

Exports in kind, t

The data shows irregular changes, pointing to a volatile market environment. Exports reached their lowest point in 2018 at 17 870 tons and peaked in 2019 at 32 903 tons, with a 1.8-fold difference between these years. In 2020, cereal germ deliveries from the CIS totaled 25 836 tons, a 21.5% drop compared to 2019. The largest decline occurred in 2018, falling by 31.7%, while the largest increase was in 2019, rising by 84.1%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from CIS in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, cereal germ from the CIS was supplied almost exclusively to Turkey, which accounted for 98.3% of total exports in kind.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from CIS in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

The market exhibited an unstable trend throughout the period. Export volumes hit their low in 2018 at 5 932 thousand US dollars and their high in 2020 at 11 672 thousand US dollars, varying by a factor of 2. In 2020, the CIS's cereal germ export volume reached 11 672 thousand US dollars, a slight advance of 2.8% compared to 2019. The largest decline was recorded in 2018, dropping by 41.4%, while the largest increase occurred in 2019, rising by 91.4%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from CIS in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, the country structure of exports in value terms was highly concentrated, with Turkey alone accounting for 98.9% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from CIS in value, 2017-2020

Imports cereal germ to CIS

Imports in kind, t

The market showed signs of volatility over the observed period. Imports were at their lowest in 2019 at 259 tons and peaked in 2018 at 692 tons, with a peak-to-trough ratio of 2.7 times. In 2020, the CIS imported approximately 463 tons of cereal germ, up by 78.5% from the previous year. The largest decline was in 2019, falling by 62.6%, while the largest increase was in 2018, rising by 104.4%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to CIS in kind, 2017-2020, t

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to CIS in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

There were noticeable fluctuations in market performance during the period. Imports reached their minimum in 2019 at 274 thousand US dollars and their maximum in 2018 at 678 thousand US dollars, reflecting a 2.5-fold gap. In 2020, the volume of cereal germ imports to the CIS reached 518 thousand US dollars, marking an abrupt rise of 89.0% relative to the prior year. The largest decline was recorded in 2019, dropping by 59.6%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to CIS in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, Switzerland led the ranking of suppliers of cereal germ to the CIS, with a share of 0.5% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to CIS in value, 2017-2020