Uncooked pasta market in CIS

Earlier Report Observations

From 2018 to 2020, the uncooked pasta market in CIS showed steady growth, with volume rising from 1 525 K t to 1 572 K t. This was driven by expanding domestic production, which increased by 7.6% in 2018 compared to the previous year. In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic significantly shifted consumer behavior, leading to a surge in home consumption of pasta as an affordable, long-lasting staple. Concurrently, demand strengthened for pasta made from durum wheat, whose share of consumption grew from 30% to 45% over the decade.

After stabilizing at 1 552 K t in 2021, the market jumped to 1 646 K t in 2022. A key driver was the introduction of a ban on exports of durum wheat, which secured domestic raw material availability for pasta manufacturers. This measure supported production amid ongoing demand for budget-friendly food products. The growth in pasta exports, which increased by 31% in value terms, pointed to the rising competitiveness of local producers in foreign markets.

In 2023, market volume contracted to 1 552 K t, coinciding with a sharp rise in producer prices—for instance, noodle prices increased by 47.8% year-on-year by March 2024, likely dampening consumer demand. The market continued to shift structurally toward packaged durum wheat products. In 2024, the Italian company Barilla began construction of a mill in the Moscow region, marking a significant new investment in local production capacity, while falling imports and rising exports indicated growing market self-sufficiency.

Production uncooked pasta in CIS

In kind, 2017-2020, t

Top producers of uncooked pasta, 2017-2020

World map of production of uncooked pasta, 2017-2020

Uncooked pasta production in the CIS has increased for the third consecutive year. In 2020, production reached 1 504 211 tons, showing a slight improvement of 3.0% compared to 2019. Between 2017 and 2020, production grew by 5.7%, which equates to an annualized rate of 1.9%.

Annual dynamics of production in CIS in kind, 2017-2020, t

In value, 2017-2020, M $ US

In 2020, the output of uncooked pasta in the CIS was valued at 5 307 million US dollars, reflecting an advance of 14.9% compared to 2019. Between 2017 and 2020, production increased by 26.2%, equating to an annualized rate of 8.1%. The largest decline was recorded in 2019 at 0.6%.

Annual dynamics of production in CIS in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Exports uncooked pasta from CIS

Exports in kind, t

Uncooked pasta exports in the CIS have increased for the second consecutive year. In 2020, export volume was recorded at 19 396 tons, representing a 69.3% increase compared to 2019. Between 2017 and 2020, exports grew by 31.3%, equating to an annualized rate of 9.5%. The minimum value was recorded in 2018 at 8 604 tons, with the largest decline that year at 41.8%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from CIS in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, the geographical structure of exports in kind was highly diversified. Turkmenistan (6.8% of exports in kind), Mongolia (4.4% of exports in kind), and Ukraine (2.7% of exports in kind) together accounted for only 13.8% of total flows, while the remaining 86.2% was distributed among numerous smaller partner countries.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from CIS in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, M $ US

Exported uncooked pasta volumes from the CIS have increased for the third consecutive year. In 2020, exports registered 39.7 million US dollars, corresponding to a robust gain of 19.8% compared to 2019. Between 2017 and 2020, exports grew by 47.6%, equating to an annualized rate of 13.9%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from CIS in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

The analysis of exports in value terms from 2017 to 2020 shows a broad distribution across many markets. Turkmenistan (5.0% of exports in value terms), Ukraine (3.1% of exports in value terms), and Mongolia (3.1% of exports in value terms) together accounted for only 11.2% of total flows, with a significant 88.8% falling on other partners.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from CIS in value, 2017-2020

Imports uncooked pasta to CIS

Imports in kind, t

In 2020, the CIS imported a total of 87 067 tons of uncooked pasta, up by 1.7% versus the previous year. Over the period 2017 to 2020, imports increased by 26.1%, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.0%. The largest decline was recorded in 2019 at 0.1%, while the largest increase occurred in 2018 at 24.2%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to CIS in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, Italy (33.5% of imports in kind), Turkey (9.3% of imports in kind), and China (8.3% of imports in kind) were the leading destinations in the country structure of imports in kind, with a combined share of 51.2% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to CIS in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, M $ US

Cross-border shipments of uncooked pasta to the CIS have increased for the third consecutive year. In 2020, imports came to 127.9 million US dollars, reflecting an uptick of 5.2% year-over-year. Over the period 2017 to 2020, imports increased by 54.9%, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.7%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to CIS in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

From 2017 to 2020, the leading destinations for imports in value terms of uncooked pasta to the CIS were Italy (40.2% of imports in value terms), China (13.2% of imports in value terms), and Turkey (6.0% of imports in value terms), which jointly accounted for 59.4% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to CIS in value, 2017-2020