Rapeseed oilcake market in Belarus

Earlier Report Observations

From 2018 to 2021, the domestic market volume for rapeseed oilcake in Belarus increased from 272.2 thousand tonnes to 404.0 thousand tonnes. This expansion was primarily driven by rising production, as state-owned processing enterprises developed rapeseed cultivation and processing due to the country's agroclimatic conditions and stable demand from both domestic and international markets, including China and the EU.

A sharp reversal occurred from 2022, with the market size contracting to 188.1 thousand tonnes by 2023. This decline happened despite ongoing production growth, as exports surged past 400 thousand tonnes. The rapid export growth was facilitated by the inclusion of rapeseed meal in the list of export feed products on the Belarusian Universal Commodity Exchange and the continued expansion of sales channels to China and other countries. Major processor OAO 'Raps' contributed by expanding sown areas and focusing on external markets.

The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 introduced global supply chain disruptions, while later changes in national waste management legislation indirectly affected processing standards. However, the market's trajectory was ultimately defined by the balance between rising production capacity and a strategic pivot towards exports.

Production rapeseed oilcake in Belarus

In kind, 2017-2020, K t

Belarus was among the world's top producers of rapeseed oilcake from 2017 to 2020, ranking 15th globally by production volume.

Top producers of rapeseed oilcake, 2017-2020

World map of production of rapeseed oilcake, 2017-2020

Rapeseed oilcake production in Belarus grew for the third year in a row. In 2020, the country produced 502.4 K t, a solid increase of 10.3% compared to 2019. Over the 2017-2020 period, production surged by 130%, with an average annual growth rate of 32.0%.

Annual dynamics of production in Belarus in kind, 2017-2020, K t

In value, 2017-2020, M $ US

The market experienced volatility during this period. Production varied by a factor of 2.6, reaching its lowest point in 2017 and peaking in 2020. In 2020, the output of rapeseed oilcake was valued at 126.5 M $ US in Belarus, marking a 19.9% increase from 2019. The largest decline occurred in 2019 at 0.7%, while the biggest increase was in 2018 at 120.7%.

Annual dynamics of production in Belarus in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Exports rapeseed oilcake from Belarus

Exports in kind, K t

The market showed an unstable trend over these years. Export volumes varied 8.4 times, with the low in 2017 and the high in 2018. In 2020, cross-border shipments of rapeseed oilcake from Belarus amounted to 123.8 K t, remaining steady compared to 2019. The maximum value was recorded in 2018 at 166.2 K t. The largest decline occurred in 2019 at 25.3%, while the largest increase was in 2018 at 736.3%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Belarus in kind, 2017-2020, K t

From 2017 to 2020, the main destinations for Belarusian rapeseed oilcake exports in kind were Russia (46.1% of exports), the United Kingdom (17.0%), and Lithuania (12.3%), together accounting for 75.5% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Belarus in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

The market exhibited an unstable trend throughout this period. Exports varied by a factor of 9.2, with the low in 2017 and the peak in 2018. In 2020, foreign rapeseed oilcake supplies from Belarus reached 31 189 K $ US, reflecting a moderate increase of 8.5% compared to 2019. The maximum value was recorded in 2018 at 40 475 K $ US. The largest decline occurred in 2019 at 29.0%, while the largest increase was in 2018 at 824.3%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Belarus in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, the principal destinations for Belarusian rapeseed oilcake exports in value terms were Russia (48.5% of exports), the United Kingdom (16.4%), and Lithuania (11.6%), jointly accounting for 76.4% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Belarus in value, 2017-2020

Imports rapeseed oilcake to Belarus

Imports in kind, K t

Volatility characterized the market during these years. Imports varied by a factor of 2, with the trough in 2019 and the peak in 2018. In 2020, Belarus imported 1.1 K t of rapeseed oilcake, representing an intense increase of 74.2% compared to 2019. The minimum value was recorded in 2019 at 1.1 K t, while the maximum was in 2018 at 2.1 K t. The largest decline occurred in 2019 at 49.9%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Belarus in kind, 2017-2020, K t

From 2017 to 2020, Ukraine accounted for 87.9% of total rapeseed oilcake imports in kind to Belarus, with the remainder spread across a wide range of smaller destinations.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Belarus in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

The data reveals irregular changes, indicating a volatile market environment. Imports changed by 2.5-fold, with the low in 2019 and the high in 2018. In 2020, Belarus imported 222 K $ US of rapeseed oilcake, up by 72.8% versus the previous year. The minimum value was recorded in 2019 at 222 K $ US, while the maximum was in 2018 at 562 K $ US. The largest decline occurred in 2019 at 60.6%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Belarus in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, the country structure of imports in value terms was strongly focused on Ukraine, whose share reached 88.9% of total flows, with other partners accounting for the remaining volume.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Belarus in value, 2017-2020