Concentrated milk and cream market in Kazakhstan

Earlier Report Observations

The market volume for concentrated milk and cream in Kazakhstan expanded from 30 315 t in 2018 to 36 151 t in 2023. This growth was primarily driven by a sharp increase in domestic production, which rose from 13 782 t to 23 890 t over the period. Government support programs such as 'Agrobusiness-2020' aimed at developing large-scale farms, combined with a 4% rise in cattle population in 2019, provided the raw material base for higher output. Simultaneously, imports faced natural limitations due to short shelf life and high transport costs, further encouraging local manufacturing.

After reaching a peak of over 35 000 t in 2020-2021, the market experienced a modest decline in 2022 before recovering in 2023. The ongoing deficit in liquid milk processing spurred investments in new dairy plants, while enhanced quality and safety requirements introduced in 2021 regulated the sector. By 2023, measures to support domestic producers and planned launches of processing facilities reinforced production growth, even as imports of concentrated milk from Russia remained significant but declining.

Production concentrated milk and cream in Kazakhstan

In kind, 2017-2020, t

Top producers of concentrated milk and cream, 2017-2020

World map of production of concentrated milk and cream, 2017-2020

Kazakhstan's production of concentrated milk and cream has grown for the third year in a row. In 2019, output stood at 15,878 tonnes, rising to 19,969 tonnes in 2020—a 25.8% increase. From 2017 to 2020, production expanded by 52%, averaging an annual growth rate of 15.0%.

Annual dynamics of production in Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020, t

In value, 2017-2020, K $ US

The value of Kazakhstan's concentrated milk and cream production has increased for the second consecutive year. In 2019, output was valued at 17,960 thousand US dollars, surging to 27,095 thousand US dollars in 2020—a sharp 50.8% rise. Between 2017 and 2020, production value grew by 111.4%, with a compound annual growth rate of 28.3%. The lowest value was recorded in 2018 at 12,723 thousand US dollars, which also saw the largest decline of 0.7%.

Annual dynamics of production in Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Exports concentrated milk and cream from Kazakhstan

Exports in kind, t

After two years of decline, Kazakhstan's exports of concentrated milk and cream rebounded. In 2019, export volume was 255 tonnes, climbing to 326 tonnes in 2020—a 27.6% increase. From 2017 to 2020, exports fell by 55.9%, averaging an annual decline of 23.9%. The lowest volume occurred in 2019, while the largest drop of 42.0% was recorded in 2018.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020, t

Between 2017 and 2020, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan were the dominant destinations for Kazakhstan's concentrated milk and cream exports in volume terms, together accounting for 83.7% of total flows, with other countries contributing smaller shares.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

Following a two-year decrease, Kazakhstan's export value for concentrated milk and cream rose. In 2019, exports amounted to 289 thousand US dollars, jumping to 442 thousand US dollars in 2020—a steep 53.0% increase. Over the 2017-2020 period, export value declined by 38.6%, with an average annual decrease of 15.0%. The lowest value was in 2019, and the largest decline of 45.1% occurred in 2018.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, the main buyers of Kazakhstan's concentrated milk and cream by value were Tajikistan (45.3% of exports), Kyrgyzstan (32.8%), and Russia (7.9%), together making up 86.0% of total export value.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020

Imports concentrated milk and cream to Kazakhstan

Imports in kind, t

Kazakhstan's imports of concentrated milk and cream in volume terms reached 15,568 tonnes in 2020, up slightly by 1.6% from 15,323 tonnes in 2019. Between 2017 and 2020, imports decreased by 4.6%, with an average annual decline of 1.6%. The lowest volume was in 2019, while the highest was 16,961 tonnes in 2018. The largest drop of 9.7% happened in 2019, and the biggest increase of 3.9% occurred in 2018.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020, t

Throughout 2017-2020, Russia and Belarus were the primary sources for Kazakhstan's concentrated milk and cream imports in volume, with their combined share reaching 99.7% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

Kazakhstan's imports of concentrated milk and cream in value terms declined for the second year in a row. In 2019, imports were valued at 20,764 thousand US dollars, dropping slightly to 20,636 thousand US dollars in 2020—a 0.6% decrease. From 2017 to 2020, import value fell by 2.6%, with a compound annual growth rate of -0.9%. The highest value was recorded in 2018 at 22,494 thousand US dollars. The largest decline of 7.8% was in 2019, while the biggest increase of 6.2% occurred in 2018.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, the country structure of Kazakhstan's concentrated milk and cream imports by value was dominated by Belarus and Russia, together accounting for 99.7% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020