Concentrated not sweetened milk and cream market in Kazakhstan

Earlier Report Observations

Production of concentrated not sweetened milk and cream in Kazakhstan rose from 13 782 tons in 2018 to 23 890 tons in 2023. This increase was underpinned by a growing cattle population, which expanded the raw milk base, and by sector investments encouraged by forecasts of rising milk consumption. A deficit in processed liquid milk and cream in 2020 further stimulated output of concentrated products.

Market volume grew from 21 810 tons to 28 615 tons over the period, despite a slight contraction in 2022. Import volumes, which peaked in 2020, later declined as domestic production increased. Competition from imported condensed milk, especially from Russia, influenced market structure, while from 2023 onward, rising exports to CIS countries provided an additional outlet for local manufacturers.

Changing consumer preferences, including a shift towards lactose-free dairy items, and the growth of online sales channels broadened market access. Industry events such as the KazAgro/KazFarm exhibition and the AqAltyn Dairy Congress supported sector development, and patriotic advertising campaigns promoted domestic milk against imported alternatives.

Production concentrated not sweetened milk and cream in Kazakhstan

In kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, Kazakhstan maintained the 27th position globally in terms of production volume for concentrated unsweetened milk and cream.

Top producers of concentrated not sweetened milk and cream, 2017-2020

World map of production of concentrated not sweetened milk and cream, 2017-2020

Kazakhstan's production of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream grew for the third consecutive year. In 2020, the country produced 19 969 tonnes, marking a 25.8% increase from the previous year. Over the period from 2017 to 2020, production rose by 52%, which translates to an average annual growth rate of 15.0%.

Annual dynamics of production in Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020, t

In value, 2017-2020, K $ US

In 2020, the output of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream in Kazakhstan was valued at 26 938 thousand US dollars, representing a 13.7% increase from 2019. Between 2017 and 2020, production value grew by 13.1%, with an average annual rate of 4.2%. The lowest value was recorded in 2019 at 23 684 thousand US dollars, which also saw the largest decline of 11.1%.

Annual dynamics of production in Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Exports concentrated not sweetened milk and cream from Kazakhstan

Exports in kind, t

The market exhibited volatility during these years. Export volumes reached their lowest point in 2018 at 3 tonnes, with the largest decline of 87.2% occurring that year. In 2019, exports surged by 450.8%, marking the largest increase. By 2020, shipments from Kazakhstan abroad amounted to 20 tonnes, a 37.2% rise compared to 2019. Volumes peaked in 2017, with a top-to-bottom ratio of 7.8 times between the highest and lowest points.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, Kyrgyzstan was the dominant partner for Kazakhstan's exports of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream in kind, accounting for 78.9% of total flows, while other markets contributed relatively small shares.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

The market showed volatility over the observed period. Export value bottomed in 2018 at 5 thousand US dollars, with the largest decline of 86.4% recorded that year. In 2019, it saw the largest increase of 325.1%. By 2020, exported volumes from Kazakhstan stood at 27 thousand US dollars, a 24.1% gain compared to the previous year. Exports peaked in 2017, differing by 7.4-fold from the lowest point.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Throughout 2017 to 2020, Kyrgyzstan dominated the country structure of exports in value terms, accounting for 80.3% of total flows, with other destinations making up smaller portions.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020

Imports concentrated not sweetened milk and cream to Kazakhstan

Imports in kind, t

In 2020, Kazakhstan imported 8 943 tonnes of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream, a 17.1% increase from the previous year. Over the period from 2017 to 2020, imports grew by 33.5%, with an average annual rate of 10.1%. The largest decline was recorded in 2019 at 4.9%, while the largest increase occurred in 2018 at 19.9%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, Belarus and Russia dominated the geographical structure of imports in kind for concentrated unsweetened milk and cream to Kazakhstan, jointly accounting for 99.9% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

In 2020, Kazakhstan imported 12 239 thousand US dollars worth of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream, which is 15.5% more year-over-year. Between 2017 and 2020, imports increased by 32.5%, equating to an average annual growth rate of 9.8%. The largest decline was in 2019 at 7.4%, and the largest increase was in 2018 at 23.9%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, Belarus and Russia together formed the main group of suppliers for concentrated unsweetened milk and cream to Kazakhstan, with a combined share of 99.9% of total imports in value terms.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020