Casein market in Belarus

Earlier Report Observations

In 2019, the Belarusian casein market expanded to 7 931 tons, a 15.8% increase from 6 847 tons in 2018. This growth was supported by dairy export diversification efforts, including casein, which helped maintain production at 9 175 tons. A concurrent drop in exports to 1 256 tons made more volume available for the domestic market.

Market size then experienced fluctuations, declining to 7 478 tons in 2020 and 7 254 tons in 2021, before a partial recovery to 7 435 tons in 2022. A slight contraction to 7 328 tons followed in 2023. Over the full 2018-2023 period, the market grew by 7%, reflecting an overall upward trend despite annual variations.

By 2024, the strategy of export diversification continued, with casein exports surging to 3 142 tons. This sharp increase underscores the ongoing focus of Belarusian dairy companies on securing and expanding international sales channels for casein.

Production casein in Belarus

In kind, 2017-2020, t

Belarus was among the world's top ten casein producers from 2017 to 2020, ranking 10th globally by production volume.

Top producers of casein, 2017-2020

World map of production of casein, 2017-2020

Belarus's casein production saw a two-year rise before declining. In 2020, the country produced 9 138 tonnes, showing only a slight change from 2019. Over the 2017-2020 period, production grew by 5.3%, with an average annual growth rate of 1.7%. The highest output was in 2019 at 9 175 tonnes, while the largest year-on-year increase occurred in 2018 at 3.3%.

Annual dynamics of production in Belarus in kind, 2017-2020, t

In value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Belarus's casein production value increased for the second year in a row. In 2020, output was valued at 59 916 thousand US dollars, a strong 10.3% rise from 2019. From 2017 to 2020, production value climbed by 18.8%, averaging 5.9% growth per year. The lowest value was in 2018 at 47 713 thousand US dollars, which also saw the biggest decline of 5.4%. The largest increase happened in 2019 at 13.9%.

Annual dynamics of production in Belarus in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Exports casein from Belarus

Exports in kind, t

After two years of decline, Belarus's casein exports rebounded. In 2020, exports reached 1 665 tonnes, a sharp 32.6% increase compared to 2019. However, over the 2017-2020 period, exports fell by 34%, with an average annual decrease of 12.9%. The lowest volume was in 2019 at 1 256 tonnes, which also experienced the steepest drop of 40.9%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Belarus in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, Poland, the Netherlands, and the United States were the leading destinations for Belarus's casein exports by volume. Poland accounted for 39.9% of exports, the Netherlands for 16.1%, and the United States for 12.2%, together making up 68.2% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Belarus in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

Following two years of decrease, Belarus's casein export value rose. In 2020, exports totaled 10 919 thousand US dollars, a 46.9% jump year-over-year. Despite this, exports declined by 25.6% over the 2017-2020 period, with an average annual drop of 9.4%. The lowest value was in 2019 at 7 434 thousand US dollars, which also saw the largest decline of 34.3%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Belarus in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Between 2017 and 2020, Poland, the Netherlands, and the United States contributed the most to Belarus's casein export value. Poland held 39.6% of exports, the Netherlands 16.5%, and the United States 12.0%, collectively accounting for 68.1% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Belarus in value, 2017-2020

Imports casein to Belarus

Imports in kind, t

The import market showed an unstable trend during this period. Imports peaked in 2019 at 11 tonnes and fell to a low of 5 tonnes in 2020, a 2.2-fold difference. In 2020, Belarus imported 5 tonnes of casein, a sudden 53.7% decrease from the previous year. The largest increase occurred in 2018 at 75.8%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Belarus in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, Russia was the key partner for Belarus's casein imports by volume, representing 93.9% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Belarus in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

Belarus's casein import value declined for the second consecutive year. In 2020, imports were valued at 41 thousand US dollars, a 41.4% drop year-over-year. Between 2017 and 2020, imports decreased by 28.7%, equivalent to an average annual rate of 10.7%. The highest value was in 2018 at 83 thousand US dollars, which also saw the largest increase of 42.0%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Belarus in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

During 2017-2020, Russia dominated Belarus's casein imports by value, accounting for 89.5% of total flows, with the remainder spread among various smaller destinations.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Belarus in value, 2017-2020