Bread, pastry, cakes, biscuits and bakers’ wares market in Estonia

Earlier Report Observations

In 2018, revisions to Intrastat commodity code classification affected the statistical reporting for bakery products in Estonia, altering market monitoring data. Following this, market volume edged up to 85 045 t in 2019 before declining to 83 014 t in 2020.

A strong recovery emerged in 2021, with market volume jumping to 91 226 t, and growth continued into 2022, reaching 96 756 t. During 2022, Christmas markets on Saaremaa Island featuring local bakers and biscuits helped boost the visibility of domestic production and stimulated consumer interest, supporting the market expansion.

After peaking in 2022, the market stabilized at 96 896 t in 2023 and then contracted to 94 194 t in 2024, marking a modest adjustment following the earlier growth phase.

Production bread, pastry, cakes, biscuits and bakers’ wares in Estonia

In value, 2018-2021, M $ US

In 2021, Estonia's output of bread, pastry, cakes, biscuits, and bakers' wares was valued at 206.3 million US dollars, marking a 5.0% year-over-year gain. Over the period from 2018 to 2021, production increased by 2.5%, with a compound annual growth rate of 0.8%. The maximum value was recorded in 2019 at 206.4 million US dollars, while the minimum occurred in 2020 at 196.5 million US dollars. The largest decline of 4.8% was also observed in 2020.

Annual dynamics of production in Estonia in value, 2018-2021, M $ US

In kind, 2018-2021, t

Top producers of bread, pastry, cakes, biscuits and bakers’ wares, 2018-2021

World map of production of bread, pastry, cakes, biscuits and bakers’ wares, 2018-2021

In 2021, Estonia produced 95 308 tonnes of bread, pastry, cakes, biscuits, and bakers' wares, showing a moderate gain of 3.7% compared to the previous year. Between 2018 and 2021, production increased by 2.8%, equating to an annualized growth rate of 0.9%. The maximum value was recorded in 2019 at 96 430 tonnes, and the minimum in 2020 at 91 945 tonnes. The largest increase of 4.0% occurred in 2019, while the largest decline of 4.7% was seen in 2020.

Annual dynamics of production in Estonia in kind, 2018-2021, t

Exports bread, pastry, cakes, biscuits and bakers’ wares from Estonia

Exports in kind, t

Bread, pastry, cakes, biscuits, and bakers' wares exports from Estonia declined for the second consecutive year. In 2021, exports amounted to 33 603 tonnes, which is 13.0% lower than the previous year. Over the period from 2018 to 2021, exports decreased by 14.1%, with a compound annual decline rate of 5.0%. The maximum value was recorded in 2019 at 42 152 tonnes, and the largest increase of 7.7% also occurred in that year.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Estonia in kind, 2018-2021, t

Throughout 2018 to 2021, the three largest markets—Finland, Sweden, and Latvia—remained central to Estonia's exports in kind, collectively accounting for 82.6% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's exports from Estonia in kind, 2018-2021

Exports in value, K $ US

Estonia's exports of bread, pastry, cakes, biscuits, and bakers' wares declined for the second consecutive year. In 2021, exports were valued at 76 860 thousand US dollars, corresponding to a 0.6% decrease compared to 2020. Between 2018 and 2021, exports decreased by 3.9%, equating to an annualized decline rate of 1.3%. The maximum value was recorded in 2019 at 84 161 thousand US dollars. The largest decline of 8.1% occurred in 2020, while the largest increase of 5.2% was seen in 2019.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Estonia in value, 2018-2021, K $ US

From 2018 to 2021, Finland (42.4% of exports in value terms), Sweden (21.3%), and Latvia (15.3%) remained the key destinations for Estonia's exports in value terms, together representing 79.0% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's exports from Estonia in value, 2018-2021

Imports bread, pastry, cakes, biscuits and bakers’ wares to Estonia

Imports in kind, t

Cross-border shipments of bread, pastry, cakes, biscuits, and bakers' wares into Estonia declined for the third consecutive year. In 2021, Estonia imported a total of 29 521 tonnes, reflecting a small decline of 0.6% year-over-year. Over the period from 2018 to 2021, imports decreased by 4.6%, with a compound annual decline rate of 1.6%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Estonia in kind, 2018-2021, t

Over 2018 to 2021, Latvia (29.2% of imports in kind), Lithuania (11.2%), and Germany (10.3%) were the primary suppliers of bread, pastry, cakes, biscuits, and bakers' wares to Estonia, jointly accounting for 50.7% of total imports in kind.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's imports to Estonia in kind, 2018-2021

Imports in value, K $ US

After a two-year decline, foreign supplies of bread, pastry, cakes, biscuits, and bakers' wares to Estonia increased. In 2021, imports were approximately 69 588 thousand US dollars, reflecting an 11.0% year-over-year rise. The minimum value was recorded in 2020 at 62 684 thousand US dollars, and the largest decline of 5.3% also occurred in that year.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Estonia in value, 2018-2021, K $ US

From 2018 to 2021, the partner structure for imports in value terms was balanced rather than concentrated: Latvia (17.3% of imports in value terms), Finland (12.4%), and Lithuania (10.8%) jointly represented 40.4% of total flows, with many other countries accounting for the remaining 59.6%.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's imports to Estonia in value, 2018-2021