Market research

Barley market in Tajikistan

Release date: Mar 28, 2026

Submission: 15 minutes after payment

Research period: 2017-2025

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Earlier Report Observations

The barley market in Tajikistan grew from 110 thousand tons in 2018 to 160 thousand tons in 2019, primarily due to a jump in domestic production from 109 thousand tons to 156 thousand tons. Dry summer conditions in the region during 2018 increased grain demand, while steady purchases of Kazakh barley by Central Asian countries supported market activity.

Imports began playing a much larger role from 2020 onward, rising from 4 thousand tons to 60 thousand tons by 2023. This increase was linked to a 2.4% drop in global barley production in 2020 and a subsequent 9% expansion of sown area in Kazakhstan in 2022, which raised exports to Tajikistan. Logistics issues and higher transportation costs in 2023 also influenced market conditions.

After a decline in 2021, domestic production recovered to reach 170 thousand tons in 2023, supported by government plans to expand grain-sown areas for food security. Broader economic growth, increased remittances, and higher investment in the agricultural sector helped sustain demand and production capacity.

Table of content

1. Disclaimer
2. Terms of use of the report
3. Product codes in the statistical classifications used in the report
4. Key Market Indicators and Trends
1. 4.1. Key Market Indicators
  1. 4.1.1. In kind
    1. 4.1.1.1. Production, 2018-2023
    2. 4.1.1.2. Imports, 2018-2024
    3. 4.1.1.3. Exports, 2018-2024
    4. 4.1.1.4. Market size, 2018-2023
2. 4.2. Market Trends and Factors
5. Production
1. 5.1. Production in Tajikistan
  1. 5.1.1. Annual dynamics of production in Tajikistan in kind, 2018-2023, K t
  2. 5.1.2. Annual dynamics of production in Tajikistan in value, 2018-2023, $ US
2. 5.2. Global production by Country, 2018-2023
  1. 5.2.1. Annual dynamics of production by macroregions in kind, 2018-2023, K t
  2. 5.2.2. Dynamics of production structure by macroregions in kind, 2018-2023
  3. 5.2.3. Annual dynamics of production by country in kind, 2018-2023, K t
  4. 5.2.4. Structure of production by countries in kind, 2018-2023
  5. 5.2.5. Dynamics of peoduction structure by countries in kind, 2018-2023
6. Imports
1. 6.1. Imports (Direct Data*)
  1. 6.1.1. Imports - Total information
  2. 6.1.2. Imports in kind, t
    1. 6.1.2.1. Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in kind, 2018-2024, t
    2. 6.1.2.2. Dynamics of product's imports in kind to Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, t
    3. 6.1.2.3. Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2018-2024
  3. 6.1.3. Imports in value, K $ US
    1. 6.1.3.1. Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in value, 2018-2024, K $ US
    2. 6.1.3.2. Dynamics of product's imports in value to Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, K $ US
    3. 6.1.3.3. Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2018-2024
  4. 6.1.4. Average price of product's imports, $ US/t
    1. 6.1.4.1. Annual dynamics of average price of product's imports to Tajikistan, 2018-2024, $ US/t
    2. 6.1.4.2. Dynamics of average price of product's imports to Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, $ US/t
2. 6.2. Imports (Mirror Data)
  1. 6.2.1. Imports - Total information
  2. 6.2.2. Imports in kind, t
    1. 6.2.2.1. Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in kind, 2018-2024, t
    2. 6.2.2.2. Dynamics of product's imports in kind to Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, t
    3. 6.2.2.3. Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2018-2024
  3. 6.2.3. Imports in value, K $ US
    1. 6.2.3.1. Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in value, 2018-2024, K $ US
    2. 6.2.3.2. Dynamics of product's imports in value to Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, K $ US
    3. 6.2.3.3. Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2018-2024
  4. 6.2.4. Average price of product's imports, $ US/t
    1. 6.2.4.1. Annual dynamics of average price of product's imports to Tajikistan, 2018-2024, $ US/t
    2. 6.2.4.2. Dynamics of average price of product's imports to Tajikistan by countries, 2018-2024, $ US/t
7. Trade balance
1. 7.1. Trade balance (Direct Data)
  1. 7.1.1. In kind, t
  2. 7.1.2. In value, K $ US
2. 7.2. Trade balance (Mirror Data)
  1. 7.2.1. In kind, t
  2. 7.2.2. In value, K $ US
8. Top buying and selling countries, 2018-2024
1. 8.1. Direct Data
  1. 8.1.1. Import in Value by Countries-buyers
  2. 8.1.2. Export in Value by Countries-suppliers
2. 8.2. Mirror Data
  1. 8.2.1. Import in Value by Countries-buyers
  2. 8.2.2. Export in Value by Countries-suppliers

Production barley in Tajikistan

In kind, 2017-2020, K t

Top producers of barley, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

World map of production of barley, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

In Tajikistan, barley production reached 150.0 thousand tons in 2020, showing a modest year-on-year decline of 4.0%. Over the period from 2017 to 2020, production grew by 3%, which translates to an average annual increase of 1.0%. The lowest production level was recorded in 2018 at 108.8 thousand tons, while the peak occurred in 2019 with 156.2 thousand tons. The most significant decrease took place in 2018, dropping by 25.3%, whereas the largest increase was observed in 2019, rising by 43.6%.

Annual dynamics of production in Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020, K t

Parameter		2018	2019	2020	CAGR
1	Change from last year	(25.3%)	43.6%	(4.0%)	1.0%

Source: SHEV.io

Exports barley from Tajikistan

Market analysis indicates that Tajikistan did not export any barley between 2017 and 2020.

Imports barley to Tajikistan

Imports in kind, t

The market showed an unstable trend during this period. Barley imports into Tajikistan fluctuated significantly, with a 20-fold difference between the low of 1 192 tons in 2018 and the high of 23 489 tons in 2020. In 2020, imports surged by 535.0% compared to the previous year. The most substantial decline occurred in 2018, falling by 61.3%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020, t

Parameter		2018	2019	2020	CAGR
1	Change from last year	(61.3%)	210.2%	535.0%	96.8%

Source: SHEV.io

From 2017 to 2020, Kazakhstan was the dominant source for barley imports into Tajikistan, consistently making up 98.2% of the total volume.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

World map of product's imports to Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

Imports in value, K $ US

The market experienced volatility throughout the timeframe. Barley import values varied widely, with a 24-fold gap between the low of 166 thousand US dollars in 2018 and the peak of 4 074 thousand US dollars in 2020. In 2020, import value jumped dramatically by 546.8% from the year before. The sharpest decrease was recorded in 2018, dropping by 62.9%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US