Semi-milled or wholly milled rice market in Tajikistan

Earlier Report Observations

The market volume for semi-milled or wholly milled rice in Tajikistan grew from 73,858 t in 2018 to 109,364 t in 2023, a trend underpinned by a consistent expansion of domestic output. This rise in local production was driven by government support for the agricultural sector and the implementation of improved farming technologies, which increased harvests and reduced reliance on foreign supply.

A notable surge in imports alongside rising domestic production propelled the market to 98,195 t in 2019. Subsequently, a sharp contraction in imports to 6,080 t in 2021 caused the total market volume to decline that year, despite a strong jump in local output to 79,816 t supported by state policy. The market then rebounded to a new high of 108,609 t in 2022, as imports recovered and domestic production, aided by better agro-technologies, continued to grow.

In 2023, the market volume reached 109,364 t, stabilizing near the previous year's level. Domestic production climbed to 91,185 t, supported by ongoing state programs focused on developing rice farming and achieving higher yields per hectare, while import volumes adjusted downward.

Production semi-milled or wholly milled rice in Tajikistan

In kind, 2017-2020, t

Top producers of semi-milled or wholly milled rice, 2017-2020

World map of production of semi-milled or wholly milled rice, 2017-2020

In 2018, Tajikistan's production of semi-milled or wholly milled rice reached its lowest point at 50 927 tonnes. The following year, in 2019, production peaked at 59 935 tonnes, marking a significant 17.7% increase. By 2020, production had declined to 55 743 tonnes, which was 7.0% lower than the previous year. The most substantial decline occurred in 2018, with a drop of 7.5%.

Annual dynamics of production in Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020, t

Exports semi-milled or wholly milled rice from Tajikistan

Exports in kind, t

The export market for semi-milled or wholly milled rice from Tajikistan showed considerable instability from 2017 to 2020. Exports hit their lowest point in 2020 at just 6 tonnes, representing a sharp 93.3% decrease compared to the prior year. In contrast, the highest export volume was recorded in 2017, creating a 25-fold difference between these two years. The largest increase occurred in 2019, with a rise of 13.0%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, Kazakhstan, Iraq, and Ukraine were the three main markets for Tajikistan's exports of semi-milled or wholly milled rice in terms of volume. Together, these countries accounted for 87.4% of the total exports during this period.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

Export values for semi-milled or wholly milled rice from Tajikistan experienced notable fluctuations between 2017 and 2020. In 2020, exports dropped to their minimum at 2 thousand US dollars, a dramatic 96.1% fall from the previous year. The peak was reached in 2019 with 62 thousand US dollars, showing a substantial 484.3% increase. Overall, there was a 25-fold shift from the highest to the lowest value during this timeframe.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

In value terms, the United States, Iraq, and Kazakhstan were the leading markets for Tajikistan's exports of semi-milled or wholly milled rice from 2017 to 2020. The United States accounted for 42.2% of exports, Iraq for 21.8%, and Kazakhstan for 16.4%. Combined, these three markets made up 80.5% of the total export value.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020

Imports semi-milled or wholly milled rice to Tajikistan

Imports in kind, t

Imports of semi-milled or wholly milled rice into Tajikistan have been rising steadily, increasing for the third consecutive year by 2020. In that year, imports totaled 39 720 tonnes, up 3.6% from the previous year. Over the entire 2017-2020 period, imports grew by 116.2%, with an average annual growth rate of 29.3%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, Kazakhstan was the dominant source for Tajikistan's imports of semi-milled or wholly milled rice in volume terms, representing 90.0% of the total. Other countries played a much smaller role in the import structure.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

The value of semi-milled or wholly milled rice imports into Tajikistan continued to climb for the third year in a row by 2020. In that year, imports amounted to 11 299 thousand US dollars, a slight increase of 1.7% compared to 2019. Over the 2017-2020 period, import values rose by 109.4%, with an average annual growth rate of 27.9%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

In value terms, Kazakhstan was the primary source for Tajikistan's imports of semi-milled or wholly milled rice from 2017 to 2020, accounting for 87.9% of the total. The remaining imports were distributed among various smaller trading partners.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020