Wheat groats and meal market in Estonia, 2026

Earlier Report Observations

The market for wheat groats and meal in Estonia remained relatively stable from 2018 to 2019, with annual volumes around 6 400–6 500 t. A significant shift occurred in 2020 when the market volume fell by 30% to 4 561 t, primarily driven by changes in consumer behavior as gluten-free diets gained popularity and awareness of gluten intolerance increased, reducing demand for wheat-based products.

The decline continued into 2021, with the market dropping further to 4 009 t. This was influenced by the new Fire Safety Act that entered into force on 1 March 2021, which raised compliance costs for food production facilities. A recovery began in 2022, with market volume reaching 5 053 t by 2023, supported by new market trends such as growing demand through online channels and the increased role of influencer marketing, which stimulated consumption.

In 2024, the market volume decreased to 4 399 t, indicating some volatility following the previous recovery period.

Production wheat groats and meal in Estonia

In value, 2018-2021, K $ US

Estonia's production of wheat groats and meal has declined for the second year in a row. In 2021, output was valued at 1 319 K $ US, marking a slight decrease of 0.8% compared to the previous year. Over the period from 2018 to 2021, production fell by 29.2%, with an average annual decline of 10.9%. The highest value was recorded in 2019 at 1 948 K $ US. The most significant drop occurred in 2020, with a decrease of 31.7%, while the largest increase was in 2019, at 4.6%.

Annual dynamics of production in Estonia in value, 2018-2021, K $ US

In kind, 2018-2021, t

Estonia's production of wheat groats and meal has decreased for the second consecutive year. In 2021, 3 673 tonnes were produced, showing a substantial decline of 13.6% from the prior year. From 2018 to 2021, production dropped by 39%, with an average annual decrease of 15.2%. The peak was in 2019, with 6 228 tonnes. The sharpest fall was in 2020, at 31.8%, and the largest rise was in 2019, at 3.4%.

Annual dynamics of production in Estonia in kind, 2018-2021, t

Exports wheat groats and meal from Estonia

Exports in kind, t

Market performance showed notable fluctuations during this period. Import levels varied significantly, with an 8.5-fold difference between the low in 2021 and the high in 2019. In 2021, Estonia's exports of wheat groats and meal reached 10.1 tonnes, which is 83.6% lower than in 2020. The maximum value was recorded in 2019 at 85.8 tonnes, with the largest increase that year at 97.7%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Estonia in kind, 2018-2021, t

From 2018 to 2021, Finland and Lithuania together accounted for 95.4% of total exports in kind, while the remaining flows were distributed thinly across other markets.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's exports from Estonia in kind, 2018-2021

Exports in value, K $ US

The market displayed an unstable trend throughout the timeframe. Exports peaked in 2019 and hit their lowest point in 2021, with a 6.1-fold gap between these years. In 2021, cross-border shipments of wheat groats and meal from Estonia amounted to 9.1 K $ US, reflecting a sharp decrease of 78.4% compared to the prior year. The maximum value was in 2019 at 55.5 K $ US, with the largest increase that year at 60.8%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Estonia in value, 2018-2021, K $ US

Between 2018 and 2021, two markets—Finland and Lithuania—played leading roles in exports in value terms, together capturing 96.1% of total flows, while the rest was distributed among other destinations.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's exports from Estonia in value, 2018-2021

Imports wheat groats and meal to Estonia

Imports in kind, t

In 2021, Estonia imported a total of value_last_year tonnes of wheat groats and meal, reflecting a limited decline of 7.5% compared to 2020. Over the period from 2018 to 2021, imports decreased by 22.1%, with an average annual decline of 8.0%. The largest drop was recorded in 2019 at 20.4%, while the biggest increase was in 2020 at 5.7%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Estonia in kind, 2018-2021, t

From 2018 to 2021, Lithuania (31.9% of imports in kind), Latvia (30.2% of imports in kind), and Germany (18.9% of imports in kind) remained the main suppliers of wheat groats and meal to Estonia, jointly forming 81.0% of total imports in kind.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's imports to Estonia in kind, 2018-2021

Imports in value, K $ US

In 2021, Estonia's imports of wheat groats and meal from abroad amounted to 187.8 K $ US, down by 3.0% compared to 2020. Over the period from 2018 to 2021, imports decreased by 9.2%, with an average annual decline of 3.2%. The minimum value was recorded in 2019 at 183.8 K $ US. The largest decline was in 2019 at 11.1%, and the largest increase was in 2020 at 5.4%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Estonia in value, 2018-2021, K $ US

Between 2018 and 2021, Lithuania (29.2% of imports in value terms), Latvia (23.2% of imports in value terms), and Germany (22.8% of imports in value terms) formed the main group of sources for imports in value terms of wheat groats and meal to Estonia, with a combined share of 75.2% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's imports to Estonia in value, 2018-2021