Cereal groats, meal and pellets market in Estonia

Earlier Report Observations

The market for cereal groats, meal and pellets in Estonia increased from 18 192 metric tons in 2018 to 19 180 metric tons in 2019. This growth was supported by state compensation for producers' input costs and subsidized loan interest rates, which aimed to ensure sustainable grain production. National dietary recommendations also encouraged higher consumption of grain products. The COVID-19 pandemic then disrupted supply chains and affected manufacturing in 2020, leading to a market contraction to 17 384 metric tons.

Updated requirements for seed grain production and marketing, effective in early 2022, along with amendments to the Feed Act regulating genetically modified feed, contributed to a further decline in market volume to 15 258 metric tons in 2021. Volume stabilized around 15 300 metric tons in 2022 and 2023 despite the Ukraine war's impact on global grain prices, which significantly increased the market value in dollar terms. New direct payment rules and agricultural land management requirements also influenced producer activity. By 2024, the market recovered to 16 274 metric tons.

Production cereal groats, meal and pellets in Estonia

In value, 2018-2021, K $ US

Estonia's production of cereal groats, meal and pellets has declined for the second year in a row. In 2021, output was valued at 4 661 K $ US, marking a 2.8% year-on-year contraction. From 2018 to 2021, production fell by 14.4%, which translates to an average annual decrease of 5.0%. The peak was reached in 2019 at 5 576 K $ US, with the largest increase that year at 2.4%. The most significant drop occurred in 2020, when production fell by 14.0%.

Annual dynamics of production in Estonia in value, 2018-2021, K $ US

In kind, 2018-2021, t

Estonia's production of cereal groats, meal and pellets has decreased for the second consecutive year. In 2021, the country produced 14 476 tonnes, representing an 8.7% decline compared to the previous year. Over the 2018-2021 period, production dropped by 15.2%, averaging a 5.3% annual reduction. The highest output was recorded in 2019 at 17 494 tonnes, with the largest increase that year at 2.5%. The most substantial decrease took place in 2020, when production fell by 9.4%.

Annual dynamics of production in Estonia in kind, 2018-2021, t

Exports cereal groats, meal and pellets from Estonia

Exports in kind, t

Estonia's exports of cereal groats, meal and pellets have fallen for the second year running. In 2021, exports stood at 231 tonnes, showing a modest 4.7% decrease from 2020. Between 2018 and 2021, exports overall grew by 11.3%, averaging a 3.6% annual increase. The peak was in 2019 at 264 tonnes, with the largest rise that year at 27.2%. The most notable decline occurred in 2020, when exports dropped by 8.1%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Estonia in kind, 2018-2021, t

From 2018 to 2021, Latvia and Finland together accounted for 84.2% of Estonia's total exports in volume, while the remaining flows were distributed across various other markets.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's exports from Estonia in kind, 2018-2021

Exports in value, K $ US

Estonia's exports of cereal groats, meal and pellets in value terms showed a moderate improvement in 2021, reaching 98.1 K $ US, a 6.4% increase over the previous year. Over the 2018-2021 period, exports grew by 16.1%, averaging a 5.1% annual rise. The highest value was recorded in 2019 at 110.2 K $ US, with the largest increase that year at 30.4%. The most significant decrease happened in 2020, when exports fell by 16.3%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Estonia in value, 2018-2021, K $ US

Between 2018 and 2021, Finland and Latvia each held 37.3% of Estonia's export value for cereal groats, meal and pellets, followed by Lithuania with 11.9%. Together, these three countries made up 86.5% of total export value.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's exports from Estonia in value, 2018-2021

Imports cereal groats, meal and pellets to Estonia

Imports in kind, t

Estonia's imports of cereal groats, meal and pellets have declined for the second consecutive year. In 2021, imports were recorded at 1 013 tonnes, a sharp 42.9% drop year-on-year. From 2018 to 2021, imports decreased by 24.1%, averaging an 8.8% annual decline. The peak was in 2019 at 1 951 tonnes, with the largest increase that year at 46.1%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Estonia in kind, 2018-2021, t

Over the 2018-2021 period, Latvia and Lithuania together captured 80.1% of Estonia's total import volume, with the rest spread thinly across other markets.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's imports to Estonia in kind, 2018-2021

Imports in value, K $ US

Estonia's imports of cereal groats, meal and pellets in value terms have increased for the second year in a row. In 2021, imports reached 623.1 K $ US, up 6.3% from the previous year. However, over the 2018-2021 period, imports decreased by 10.7%, averaging a 3.7% annual decline. The lowest value was in 2019 at 550.4 K $ US, with the largest drop that year at 21.1%. The most notable increase occurred in 2020, when imports rose by 6.5%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Estonia in value, 2018-2021, K $ US

From 2018 to 2021, Latvia accounted for 34.6% of Estonia's import value for cereal groats, meal and pellets, Lithuania for 23.8%, and Europe, not elsewhere specified, for 11.5%. Together, these sources represented 69.9% of total import flows.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's imports to Estonia in value, 2018-2021