Wheat and meslin flour and cereals market in Uzbekistan

Earlier Report Observations

Between 2018 and 2020, the wheat and meslin flour and cereals market in Uzbekistan grew, with volume reaching 4.5 million tons. This expansion was fueled by the active development of the domestic milling industry, which increased production capacity and reduced flour imports from Kazakhstan. The abolition of VAT on grain imports in 2020 made raw materials more affordable for local processors, accelerating the shift from importing finished flour to importing wheat for domestic processing.

From 2021, market volume gradually declined as Uzbekistan strengthened its export orientation. A surge in wheat imports, mainly from Kazakhstan, supplied growing milling facilities, while flour exports rose sharply, primarily to Afghanistan. Government subsidies for transportation costs supported this trend. By 2023, flour exports reached 1.3 million tons, with about 80% produced from Kazakh wheat, reflecting a re-export strategy that continued into 2024 with further investment in processing capacity.

Production wheat and meslin flour and cereals in Uzbekistan

In kind, 2017-2020, K t

From 2017 to 2020, Uzbekistan consistently ranked 20th globally in terms of wheat and meslin flour and cereals production volume.

Top producers of wheat and meslin flour and cereals, 2017-2020

World map of production of wheat and meslin flour and cereals, 2017-2020

Uzbekistan's production of wheat and meslin flour and cereals has grown for the third year in a row. In 2020, the country produced 4 850 K t, marking a significant year-over-year increase of 10.2%. Over the 2017-2020 period, production rose by 24.4%, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.5%.

Annual dynamics of production in Uzbekistan in kind, 2017-2020, K t

In value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Uzbekistan's production of wheat and meslin flour and cereals has increased for the third consecutive year. In 2020, the output was valued at 1 439 M $ US, representing a 31.0% rise compared to the previous year. From 2017 to 2020, production grew by 63.4%, with a compound annual growth rate of 17.8%.

Annual dynamics of production in Uzbekistan in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Exports wheat and meslin flour and cereals from Uzbekistan

Exports in kind, K t

Foreign supplies of wheat and meslin flour and cereals from Uzbekistan have expanded for the third year in a row. In 2020, exports reached 737.1 K t, up 75.9% from 2019. Between 2017 and 2020, exports surged by 258.6%, translating to an annualized growth rate of 53.1%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Uzbekistan in kind, 2017-2020, K t

From 2017 to 2020, Afghanistan accounted for nearly all of Uzbekistan's wheat and meslin flour and cereals exports in kind, with a share of 99.6% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Uzbekistan in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, M $ US

Wheat and meslin flour and cereals exports from Uzbekistan have risen for the third consecutive year. In 2020, exports amounted to 218.6 M $ US, a 109.0% increase year-over-year. Over the 2017-2020 period, exports grew by 371.2%, with an annualized rate of 67.6%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Uzbekistan in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Between 2017 and 2020, Afghanistan was the almost exclusive buyer of wheat and meslin flour and cereals from Uzbekistan, accounting for 99.7% of total exports in value terms.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Uzbekistan in value, 2017-2020

Imports wheat and meslin flour and cereals to Uzbekistan

Imports in kind, K t

Cross-border shipments of wheat and meslin flour and cereals to Uzbekistan have declined for the second consecutive year. In 2020, imports stood at 353.5 K t, showing a sharp year-over-year drop of 22.2%. Over the 2017-2020 period, imports fell by 31.6%, with a compound annual decline of 11.9%. The peak was recorded in 2018 at 648.5 K t, followed by the largest decline of 29.9% in 2019. The largest increase occurred in 2018, at 25.5%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Uzbekistan in kind, 2017-2020, K t

Throughout 2017-2020, Kazakhstan remained the dominant and nearly sole source for imports in kind of wheat and meslin flour and cereals to Uzbekistan, with a share of 99.2%.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Uzbekistan in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, M $ US

In 2020, Uzbekistan imported wheat and meslin flour and cereals valued at 87.3 M $ US, a modest 2.7% increase from the previous year. Between 2017 and 2020, imports decreased by 2.2%, with an annualized decline of 0.7%. The lowest value was recorded in 2019 at 87.3 M $ US, while the highest was in 2018 at 109.0 M $ US. The largest decline occurred in 2019 at 19.9%, and the largest increase was in 2018 at 18.9%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Uzbekistan in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

From 2017 to 2020, imports in value terms were heavily concentrated on Kazakhstan, which accounted for 98.1% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Uzbekistan in value, 2017-2020