Wheat and meslin flour and cereals market in Pakistan

Earlier Report Observations

Production of wheat and meslin flour and cereals in Pakistan grew from 21.0 million tonnes in 2018 to 24.2 million tonnes in 2023, driving a parallel expansion in domestic market volume. The market size in physical terms increased consistently over this period, reaching its highest point in 2021 before a slight stabilization in 2022 and resuming growth in 2023.

A significant shift occurred in trade flows, with exports falling from 0.5 million tonnes in 2018 to negligible levels by 2020. This redirection of supply from external to domestic consumption became a structural feature for the market, contributing to the steady growth in volume available for local consumers throughout the period.

In value terms, the market demonstrated even stronger growth, rising from $5.0 billion in 2018 to $8.2 billion in 2023. This increase in monetary value peaked in 2021 at $9.1 billion, reflecting higher price levels before a correction in 2022, with the market value stabilizing above $8.2 billion in the following year.

Production wheat and meslin flour and cereals in Pakistan

In kind, 2017-2020, K t

Pakistan was among the world's leading producers of wheat and meslin flour and cereals from 2017 to 2020, ranking third globally by production volume.

Top producers of wheat and meslin flour and cereals, 2017-2020

World map of production of wheat and meslin flour and cereals, 2017-2020

Wheat and meslin flour and cereals production in Pakistan increased for the third consecutive year. In 2020, production reached 22 950 thousand tonnes, reflecting a slight uptick of 1.1% compared to 2019. Between 2017 and 2020, production grew by 10.3%, equating to an annualized rate of 3.3%.

Annual dynamics of production in Pakistan in kind, 2017-2020, K t

In value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Wheat and meslin flour and cereals production in Pakistan increased for the second consecutive year. In 2020, the output was valued at 7 232 million US dollars, marking a robust rise of 25.0% compared to 2019. Between 2017 and 2020, production increased by 28%, equating to an annualized rate of 8.6%. The minimum value was recorded in 2018 at 5 078 million US dollars, which also saw the largest decline of 10.2%.

Annual dynamics of production in Pakistan in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Exports wheat and meslin flour and cereals from Pakistan

Exports in kind, K t

There were noticeable fluctuations in market performance during the period. Export volumes peaked in 2018 and declined to their lowest level in 2020, with a top-to-bottom ratio of 194 times. In 2020, wheat and meslin flour and cereals deliveries from Pakistan amounted to 2.6 thousand tonnes, marking a steep decrease of 99.5% compared to 2019. The maximum value was recorded in 2018 at 495.8 thousand tonnes, which also saw the largest increase of 38.8%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Pakistan in kind, 2017-2020, K t

From 2017 to 2020, exports in kind of wheat and meslin flour and cereals from Pakistan were almost entirely tied to Afghanistan, which accounted for 94.9% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Pakistan in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, M $ US

The market exhibited an unstable trend throughout the timeframe. Export values varied by a factor of 152, from a high in 2019 to a low in 2020. In 2020, Pakistan's wheat and meslin flour and cereals exports registered 0.8 million US dollars, down by 99.3% compared to the previous year. The maximum value was recorded in 2019 at 123.0 million US dollars, while the largest increase occurred in 2018 at 23.4%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Pakistan in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

From 2017 to 2020, the partner base for exports in value terms was extremely narrow, with Afghanistan alone responsible for 94.7% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Pakistan in value, 2017-2020

Imports wheat and meslin flour and cereals to Pakistan

Imports in kind, K t

Imported wheat and meslin flour and cereals volumes in Pakistan declined for the third consecutive year. In 2020, imports totalled 0.1 thousand tonnes, which is 83.0% lower than the previous year. Over the period from 2017 to 2020, imports decreased by 95.3%, with a compound annual growth rate of 64.0%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Pakistan in kind, 2017-2020, K t

From 2017 to 2020, China, the United Arab Emirates, and Egypt formed the main group of destinations for imports in kind of wheat and meslin flour and cereals to Pakistan, with shares of 41.5%, 30.1%, and 13.5% respectively, combining for 85.2% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Pakistan in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, M $ US

Pakistan's wheat and meslin flour and cereals import volume declined for the third consecutive year. In 2020, imports came to 0.0 million US dollars, representing a sharp loss of 74.3% from a year earlier. Between 2017 and 2020, imports decreased by 96.4%, equating to an annualized rate of 66.9%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Pakistan in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

From 2017 to 2020, China, the United Arab Emirates, and Egypt continued to head the list of suppliers of wheat and meslin flour and cereals to Pakistan in value terms, with shares of 61.4%, 15.8%, and 12.0% respectively, jointly taking 89.2% of total imports.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Pakistan in value, 2017-2020