Oats market in Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia)

Earlier Report Observations

From 2018 to 2020, the oat market in Eastern Europe saw shifts in volume driven by production changes. In 2018, a reduction in sown areas and a 13.7% drop in the oat harvest decreased production, contributing to a market size decline to 6.8 million tons in 2019. The following year, market volume recovered slightly to 7.0 million tons without major reported disruptions.

Geopolitical tensions and sanctions began affecting the market in 2021, coinciding with record export volumes that diverted oats from domestic consumption, pulling market size down to 6.2 million tons. In 2022, however, oat harvests expanded, supported by the entry of new players like Above Food Corp., which launched new production facilities. A consumer shift toward healthy eating also spurred new product segments, helping lift market volume to 6.8 million tons.

A sharp contraction in oat sown areas by 14.6% in 2023—the lowest level since 1990—led to a 27.1% drop in harvests, dragging market size down to 5.6 million tons. Ongoing sanctions and global trade disruptions continued to influence market dynamics, with exports recovering notably to key markets like China. Preliminary 2024 data indicates a further decline in output, extending the trend of reduced sown areas and harvests.

Production oats in Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia)

In kind, 2017-2020, K t

Top producers of oats, 2017-2020

World map of production of oats, 2017-2020

Oats production in Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) increased in 2020 after two consecutive years of decline. That year, the region produced 7 257 K t of oats, marking a modest 2.9% increase compared to 2019. However, looking at the broader period from 2017 to 2020, production actually fell by 15.3%, with an average annual decline of 5.4%. The lowest production level was recorded in 2019 at 7 055 K t, while the sharpest year-on-year drop occurred in 2018, when output decreased by 15.1%.

Annual dynamics of production in Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in kind, 2017-2020, K t

In value, 2017-2020, M $ US

The value of oats production in Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) declined for the third year in a row. In 2020, output was valued at 1 634 M $ US, remaining essentially unchanged from 2019. Over the four-year period from 2017 to 2020, the production value decreased by 11.6%, with an average annual decline of 4.0%.

Annual dynamics of production in Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Exports oats from Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia)

Exports in kind, K t

Oats exports from Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) grew for the third consecutive year. In 2020, export volume reached 314.6 K t, representing a substantial 22.6% increase compared to the previous year. From 2017 to 2020, exports surged by 96.5%, which translates to an average annual growth rate of 25.3%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in kind, 2017-2020, K t

Between 2017 and 2020, Germany, the Netherlands, and Mongolia were the top destinations for oats exports from Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in volume terms. Germany accounted for 34.3% of exports, followed by the Netherlands at 18.7% and Mongolia at 8.2%. Together, these three markets represented 61.3% of total export flows.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

The value of oats exports from Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) rose for the third year in a row. In 2020, exports were valued at 70 850 K $ US, up 18.9% from 2019. Over the period from 2017 to 2020, export value increased by 105.2%, with an average annual growth rate of 27.1%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, Germany, the Netherlands, and Mongolia formed the core markets for oats exports from Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in value terms. Germany led with a 38.2% share, followed by the Netherlands at 17.6% and Mongolia at 6.2%. Collectively, these three countries accounted for 61.9% of total export value.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in value, 2017-2020

Imports oats to Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia)

Imports in kind, K t

Oats imports into Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) showed significant volatility between 2017 and 2020. Imports reached their lowest point in 2017 and peaked in 2020, with a 2.2-fold difference between these years. In 2020, import volume stood at 28.1 K t, up 9.8% from 2019. The largest year-on-year increase occurred in 2018, when imports jumped by 102.5%, while the sharpest decline was recorded in 2019 at 1.6%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in kind, 2017-2020, K t

Between 2017 and 2020, Lithuania, Kazakhstan, and Germany were among the largest suppliers of oats to Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in volume terms. Lithuania accounted for 21.4% of imports, followed by Kazakhstan at 7.5% and Germany at 4.0%. However, even combined, these three suppliers represented just 32.9% of total imports, indicating a highly diversified partner base.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

The value of oats imports into Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) increased for the third consecutive year. In 2020, imports were valued at 9 603 K $ US, rising by 7.2% compared to the previous year. Over the period from 2017 to 2020, import value grew substantially by 162.6%, with an average annual increase of 38.0%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, no single market dominated oats imports into Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in value terms. Lithuania was the largest supplier with a 17.3% share, followed by Germany at 6.3% and Kazakhstan at 4.5%. Together, these three countries accounted for only 28.1% of total import value, with many smaller partners each holding modest individual shares.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in value, 2017-2020