Not roasted and not cooked groundnuts market in Ethiopia

Earlier Report Observations

The market for not roasted and not cooked groundnuts in Ethiopia expanded significantly from 144 thousand tons in 2018 to a peak of 206 thousand tons in 2020. This growth was primarily driven by a steady increase in domestic consumption and a major expansion of harvested area, particularly in 2020 when production volume surged by over 30%. Rising international engagement, with export values reaching $63.81 million in 2019, provided further incentive for production increases.

Following the peak, market volume contracted to 118 thousand tons by 2023. The downturn coincided with a decrease in export prices in 2021 and the disruptive impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on market operations. Underlying production constraints, including persistent drought stress during key growth stages, pre- and post-harvest diseases like aflatoxin contamination, and a continued reliance on area expansion rather than yield improvements, limited the sector's resilience and contributed to the decline.

Throughout the period, the market for groundnut oil and peanut butter showed concurrent growth, indicating a diversification of demand within the oilseed sector. The structural challenges of limited access to improved seeds, advanced technologies, and market infrastructure remained consistent factors influencing overall supply.

Production not roasted and not cooked groundnuts in Ethiopia

In kind, 2017-2020, K t

From 2017 to 2020, Ethiopia ranked 30th globally in the production of not roasted and not cooked groundnuts.

Top producers of not roasted and not cooked groundnuts, 2017-2020

World map of production of not roasted and not cooked groundnuts, 2017-2020

Ethiopia's production of not roasted and not cooked groundnuts grew for the second year in a row. In 2020, the country produced 205.1 K t, marking a 31.0% increase from 2019. Over the 2017-2020 period, production rose by 41.3%, with an average annual growth rate of 12.2%. The lowest output was in 2018 at 144.1 K t, which saw a slight decline of 0.7%.

Annual dynamics of production in Ethiopia in kind, 2017-2020, K t

In value, 2017-2020, M $ US

The value of not roasted and not cooked groundnuts production in Ethiopia increased for the second consecutive year. In 2020, output was valued at 264.9 M $ US, up 66.4% year-over-year. Between 2017 and 2020, production value grew by 75.5%, translating to an annualized rate of 20.6%. The lowest value was recorded in 2018 at 146.1 M $ US, with a decline of 3.2% that year.

Annual dynamics of production in Ethiopia in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Exports not roasted and not cooked groundnuts from Ethiopia

Exports in kind, t

The data shows irregular changes, pointing to a volatile market. Exports hit a low in 2019 at 33 t and peaked in 2020 at 348 t, a 10.5-fold difference. In 2020, export volume surged by 953.0% compared to the previous year. The largest decline occurred in 2019, dropping by 54.6%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Ethiopia in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, Djibouti and the United Arab Emirates were the primary markets for Ethiopia's exports in kind, together accounting for 81.3% of total flows, with other partners making up the remainder.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Ethiopia in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

The data indicates irregular shifts, reflecting market volatility. Export values fluctuated significantly, with a low of 34 K $ US in 2019 and a high of 450 K $ US in 2020, a 13.4-fold difference. In 2020, exports jumped by 1 237.2% from the previous year. The largest decline was in 2018, falling by 54.8%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Ethiopia in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Between 2017 and 2020, Djibouti and the United Arab Emirates dominated Ethiopia's exports in value terms, jointly representing 81.4% of total flows, while other countries held much smaller shares.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Ethiopia in value, 2017-2020

Imports not roasted and not cooked groundnuts to Ethiopia

Imports in kind, t

The market displayed an unstable trend during this period. Imports bottomed out in 2018 at 298 t and peaked in 2020 at 1 502 t, a fivefold increase. In 2020, import volume rose by 62.2% compared to 2019. The largest decline was in 2018, down 44.9%, while the biggest increase occurred in 2019, soaring by 210.6%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Ethiopia in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, India was nearly the exclusive supplier of not roasted and not cooked groundnuts to Ethiopia, accounting for 98.7% of total imports in kind.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Ethiopia in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

The market showed volatility over the observed timeframe. Import values varied widely, with a low of 382 K $ US in 2018 and a high of 2 046 K $ US in 2020, a 5.4-fold difference. In 2020, imports increased sharply by 64.5% from the previous year. The largest decline was in 2018, dropping 53.2%, while the largest rise was in 2019, up 225.4%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Ethiopia in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Throughout 2017-2020, India dominated Ethiopia's import structure in value terms, holding a 98.6% share of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Ethiopia in value, 2017-2020