Cereal germ market in Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia)

Earlier Report Observations

The market for cereal germ in Eastern Europe began the period with significant industry development, as large state and private companies expanded their presence and new players entered the market. This established a foundation for deep grain processing. After a contraction in 2019, market volume rebounded sharply in 2020, reaching 883 thousand tonnes. This growth was primarily driven by the launch of new production capacities for deep grain processing, which expanded output despite supply chain and logistics disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Market volume stabilized near the elevated 2020 level in 2021, at 882 thousand tonnes, supported by evolving consumer preferences towards products of deep grain processing. However, in 2022, geopolitical factors and international trade restrictions directly impacted export opportunities, leading to a significant market contraction to 770 thousand tonnes.

A recovery commenced in 2023, with volume increasing to 801 thousand tonnes. This was fueled by continued production growth and the adoption of new processing technologies, stimulated by import substitution policies and state support for the grain processing sector.

Production cereal germ in Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia)

In kind, 2017-2020, K t

Top producers of cereal germ, 2017-2020

World map of production of cereal germ, 2017-2020

Market performance showed noticeable fluctuations during the period. Production reached its lowest point in 2017 and peaked in 2020, with a two-fold difference between these years. In 2020, Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) produced 969 K t of cereal germ, representing a 10.9% increase compared to the previous year. The largest decline occurred in 2019 at 7.4%, while the most significant increase was recorded in 2018 at 94.7%.

Annual dynamics of production in Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in kind, 2017-2020, K t

In value, 2017-2020, M $ US

The market exhibited signs of volatility over the observed period. Production was at its lowest in 2017 and reached its highest point in 2020, with a two-fold gap. In 2020, the output of cereal germ in Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) was valued at 439.7 M $ US, marking a dramatic 26.3% increase over the past year. The largest decline was in 2019 at 10.4%, and the most substantial increase occurred in 2018 at 73.1%.

Annual dynamics of production in Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Exports cereal germ from Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia)

Exports in kind, K t

In 2020, Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) exported 102.9 K t of cereal germ, reflecting a small decline of 2.8% compared to 2019. Between 2017 and 2020, exports increased by 5.2%, equating to an annualized rate of 1.7%. The minimum value was recorded in 2018 at 91.3 K t, while the maximum was in 2019 at 105.8 K t. The largest decline occurred in 2018 at 6.6%, and the largest increase was in 2019 at 15.8%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in kind, 2017-2020, K t

From 2017 to 2020, the country structure of exports in kind was primarily shaped by Turkey and Italy, which together accounted for 81.4% of total flows, with other markets forming a long tail.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

Exported cereal germ volumes from Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) increased for the second consecutive year. In 2020, the region exported 46 687 K $ US of cereal germ, indicating a substantial 10.7% increase compared to 2019. Between 2017 and 2020, exports rose by 3%, equating to an annualized rate of 1.0%. The minimum value was recorded in 2018 at 37 645 K $ US. The largest decline occurred in 2018 at 17.0%, while the largest increase was in 2019 at 12.0%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, Turkey and Italy dominated exports in value terms, accounting together for 82.6% of total flows, with other destinations making smaller individual contributions.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in value, 2017-2020

Imports cereal germ to Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia)

Imports in kind, K t

Cereal germ volumes imported by Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) declined for the third consecutive year. In 2020, imports amounted to 17.2 K t, reflecting a 15.9% drop compared to 2019. Over the period from 2017 to 2020, imports decreased by 21.3%, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.7%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in kind, 2017-2020, K t

From 2017 to 2020, Austria (21.8% of imports in kind), Serbia (12.1% of imports in kind), and Belgium (5.9% of imports in kind) were the principal suppliers of cereal germ to Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia), jointly accounting for 39.8% of total imports in kind.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

In 2020, Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) imported a total of 9 665 K $ US of cereal germ, indicating a steep 25.3% year-over-year reduction. Between 2017 and 2020, imports decreased by 34.2%, equating to an annualized rate of 13.0%. The largest decline was recorded in 2018 at 25.4%, and the largest increase occurred in 2019 at 18.1%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

The partner structure of imports in value terms from 2017 to 2020 was fragmented, with Austria (23.6% of imports in value terms), Serbia (12.8% of imports in value terms), and Belgium (6.0% of imports in value terms) together accounting for only 42.4% of total flows, and no single country achieving a dominant share.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Eastern Europe (including Northern Asia) in value, 2017-2020