Roasted, not decaffeinated coffee market in Germany

Earlier Report Observations

Between 2018 and 2020, the market for roasted coffee in Germany saw initial growth, with volume rising to 412 thousand tonnes in 2019. This was supported by shifting consumer preferences towards premium blends and whole beans, as well as the market entry of Nestlé as the retail distributor for Starbucks brands starting in 2018. The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 boosted retail sales for home consumption, helping to maintain market volume at a stable level of 412 thousand tonnes.

From 2021 onwards, the market entered a phase of consistent contraction, with volume declining to 388 thousand tonnes in 2021 and 366 thousand tonnes in 2022. This downward adjustment reflected a shift in market dynamics after the earlier period of expansion.

The decline accelerated in 2023 and 2024, with volume dropping to 353 thousand tonnes and then to 335 thousand tonnes. This was largely driven by sharp increases in green coffee prices due to crop failures from extreme weather and climate change, which raised retail prices and reduced overall consumption volume. Despite ongoing trends like demand for sustainable and instant coffee, the cost pressure outweighed these structural shifts.

Production roasted, not decaffeinated coffee in Germany

In value, 2017-2020, M $ US

After a two-year decline, Germany's production of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee rebounded. In 2020, output reached 1 833 million US dollars, marking a 6.6% year-over-year increase. However, over the broader period from 2017 to 2020, production fell by 4.5%, averaging an annualized decline of 1.5%. The lowest value was recorded in 2019 at 1 719 million US dollars, which also saw the steepest drop of 7.9%.

Annual dynamics of production in Germany in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

In kind, 2017-2020, K t

Following a two-year rise, Germany's production of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee experienced a slight downturn. In 2020, output totaled 555.5 thousand tonnes, remaining largely unchanged from the previous year. Over the 2017-2020 period, production grew by 4.4%, with a compound annual growth rate of 1.4%. The peak was reached in 2019 at 555.9 thousand tonnes, which also recorded the highest annual increase of 4.0%.

Annual dynamics of production in Germany in kind, 2017-2020, K t

Exports roasted, not decaffeinated coffee from Germany

Exports in kind, K t

Germany's exports of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee increased for the third consecutive year. In 2020, exports stood at 235.8 thousand tonnes, up 3.8% from 2019. From 2017 to 2020, exports rose by 9.8%, with a compound annual growth rate of 3.1%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Germany in kind, 2017-2020, K t

Between 2017 and 2020, Germany's exports of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee were distributed across a wide range of markets. Poland accounted for 15.8% of exports in volume, the Netherlands for 12.3%, and France for 9.2%, together making up 37.3% of the total. The remaining 62.7% was spread among numerous smaller destinations.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Germany in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, M $ US

In 2020, Germany's exports of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee totaled 1 555 million US dollars, representing an 11.9% increase compared to the prior year. Over the 2017-2020 period, exports grew by 8%, with a compound annual growth rate of 2.6%. The lowest value was recorded in 2019 at 1 390 million US dollars, which also saw the largest decline of 3.6%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Germany in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

From 2017 to 2020, Germany's exports of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee in value terms were relatively evenly distributed. France contributed 15.7% of export value, the Netherlands 11.5%, and Poland 11.5%, collectively accounting for 38.7% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Germany in value, 2017-2020

Imports roasted, not decaffeinated coffee to Germany

Imports in kind, K t

Germany's imports of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee rose for the third year in a row. In 2020, imports amounted to 91.9 thousand tonnes, showing a modest increase of 9.9% from 2019. Over the 2017-2020 period, imports surged by 22.2%, with a compound annual growth rate of 6.9%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Germany in kind, 2017-2020, K t

Throughout 2017-2020, Italy dominated Germany's imports of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee in volume, accounting for 47.7%. Poland followed with 13.3%, and Switzerland with 12.8%, together representing 73.8% of total imports.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Germany in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, M $ US

Germany's imports of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee grew for the third consecutive year. In 2020, imports reached 754 million US dollars, rising 18.0% from 2019. Between 2017 and 2020, imports increased by 28.3%, averaging an annualized growth rate of 8.7%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Germany in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

From 2017 to 2020, Italy was the leading source for Germany's imports of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee in value terms, making up 33.3%. Switzerland accounted for 29.6%, and the Netherlands for 10.9%, collectively comprising 73.8% of total import value.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Germany in value, 2017-2020