Roasted, not decaffeinated coffee market in Finland

Earlier Report Observations

Between 2018 and 2020, the Finnish roasted coffee market was shaped by evolving sustainability standards, including the merger of UTZ and Rainforest Alliance certifications and major local roasters like Meira Oy committing to source 100% verified sustainable coffee by 2022. The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 shifted consumption towards home brewing and boosted demand for plant-based milk alternatives in coffee drinks, though the overall market volume contracted as the steep decline in out-of-home consumption outweighed the growth in retail sales.

World arabica coffee prices surged in 2021, increasing raw material costs for producers. The following year, the war in Ukraine, an energy crisis, and broad inflation pushed up food prices, including for coffee. This price peak in early 2022 altered consumer behavior, leading many to seek more affordable options and increase household stocks, which contributed to a significant rise in the total physical volume of coffee sold in the market during 2022.

Consumer trends favoring cold brew, home coffee preparation, and innovative flavors continued to gain traction through 2023, particularly among younger demographics. However, in 2024, a value-added tax increase from 24% to 25.5% and rising packaging costs directly lifted retail prices, prompting some consumers to switch to cheaper brands and contributing to a decline in market volume, even as dark roast varieties grew in popularity.

Production roasted, not decaffeinated coffee in Finland

In value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Finland's production of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee has declined for the third year in a row. In 2020, the output was valued at 306.7 million US dollars, marking a moderate decrease of 4.8% compared to 2019. From 2017 to 2020, production fell by 12.5%, which translates to an annualized decline rate of 4.4%.

Annual dynamics of production in Finland in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

In kind, 2017-2020, t

Following a two-year period of growth, Finland's production of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee experienced a decline. In 2020, the country produced 41 324 tonnes, representing a 6.1% drop from the previous year. Over the 2017-2020 period, production decreased by 4%, with a compound annual growth rate of -1.4%. The highest production volume was recorded in 2019 at 44 021 tonnes, while the largest increase occurred in 2018 with a 1.1% rise.

Annual dynamics of production in Finland in kind, 2017-2020, t

Exports roasted, not decaffeinated coffee from Finland

Exports in kind, t

The data shows irregular fluctuations, indicating a volatile market environment. From 2017 to 2019, export volumes varied significantly, with a 17-fold difference between the high and low points. In 2020, Finland exported 7 102 tonnes of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee, which was a dramatic increase of 1,259.8% compared to 2019. The lowest export volume was recorded in 2019 at 522 tonnes, and the largest decline occurred that same year with a 93.2% drop.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Finland in kind, 2017-2020, t

Between 2017 and 2020, Estonia, Lithuania, and Latvia were the primary destinations for Finland's exports of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee in volume terms. Estonia accounted for 39.2% of exports, Lithuania for 33.2%, and Latvia for 9.4%. Together, these three countries represented 81.9% of total export flows.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Finland in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

After a two-year decline, Finland's exports of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee in value terms saw an increase. In 2020, exports totaled 33.761 million US dollars, reflecting a small rise of 2.7% compared to 2019. From 2017 to 2020, exports decreased by 18.9%, equating to an annualized decline rate of 6.8%. The lowest value was recorded in 2019 at 32.866 million US dollars, and the largest decline occurred in 2018 with a 15.2% drop.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Finland in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, Estonia, Lithuania, and Latvia continued to be the main buyers of Finland's roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee in value terms. Estonia accounted for 41.0% of exports, Lithuania for 34.7%, and Latvia for 10.1%. Collectively, these three countries formed 85.7% of total export value.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Finland in value, 2017-2020

Imports roasted, not decaffeinated coffee to Finland

Imports in kind, t

Market behavior during these years was characterized by volatility. Import volumes reached their peak in 2018 and fell to their lowest point in 2019, with a two-fold difference between these years. In 2020, Finland imported 10 968 tonnes of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee, reflecting a sharp increase of 99.3% from the previous year. The minimum volume was recorded in 2019 at 5 503 tonnes, while the maximum was in 2018 at 11 221 tonnes. The largest decline occurred in 2019 with a 51.0% drop.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Finland in kind, 2017-2020, t

Between 2017 and 2020, the Netherlands, Sweden, and Germany remained the main suppliers of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee to Finland in volume terms. The Netherlands accounted for 36.1% of imports, Sweden for 33.2%, and Germany for 12.3%. Together, these three countries represented 81.6% of total import volumes.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Finland in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

Finland's imports of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee in value terms declined for the second consecutive year. In 2020, import volume amounted to 67.200 million US dollars, representing a modest contraction of 8.2% from a year earlier. The highest value was recorded in 2018 at 74.220 million US dollars, and the largest increase occurred that same year with an 8.3% rise.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Finland in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Throughout the 2017-2020 period, Sweden, the Netherlands, and Germany were the key sources for Finland's imports of roasted, non-decaffeinated coffee in value terms. Sweden accounted for 33.0% of imports, the Netherlands for 29.2%, and Germany for 10.8%. Together, these three countries accounted for 73.0% of total import flows.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Finland in value, 2017-2020