Roasted coffee market in Sweden

Earlier Report Observations

Between 2018 and 2019, the Swedish roasted coffee market maintained a stable consumption volume of around 81 000 tonnes, but its value declined from 416 million US dollars to 362 million US dollars. This divergence was primarily driven by the growing impact of climate change in key producer countries like Brazil, where extreme weather events reduced supply and pushed up global coffee prices. Concurrently, strengthened consumer trends towards origin traceability and specialty coffee varieties helped sustain market interest.

The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 altered market dynamics, with consumption volume falling to 78 853 tonnes and further to 78 000 tonnes in 2021. However, market value stabilized at approximately 363-369 million US dollars due to sustained price increases fueled by ongoing climate-related supply shortages and record-high arabica bean prices. This period also saw rising demand for cold brew coffee and the exploration of fermented coffee substitutes as responses to higher traditional coffee costs.

By 2022, the market context was characterized by continued retail price surges of 47-57% in Sweden, driven by global coffee deficits and increased logistics expenses. Factors also pointed to growing consumer demand for Fairtrade-certified coffee and investments in innovative, sustainable cultivation technologies to address supply constraints.

Production roasted coffee in Sweden

In value, 2017-2020, M $ US

In Sweden, the output value of roasted coffee reached 400.3 million US dollars in 2020, marking a modest year-over-year increase of 1.1%. However, looking at the broader period from 2018 to 2020, production declined by 12.6%, with a compound annual growth rate of -4.4%. The lowest value was recorded in 2019 at 396.1 million US dollars, which also saw the largest decline of 13.5% during this timeframe.

Annual dynamics of production in Sweden in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

In kind, 2017-2020, t

Sweden's roasted coffee production continued its downward trend for the second consecutive year. In 2020, the country produced 88,716 tonnes, representing a 2.7% decrease compared to 2019. Over the three-year period from 2018 to 2020, production fell by 2.8%, translating to an annualized decline of 1.0%.

Annual dynamics of production in Sweden in kind, 2017-2020, t

Exports roasted coffee from Sweden

Exports in kind, t

Roasted coffee exports from Sweden declined for the third year in a row. In 2020, Sweden exported 22,775 tonnes, reflecting a slight year-over-year drop of 0.9%. Between 2017 and 2020, exports decreased by 3.5%, which corresponds to an annualized rate of -1.2%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Sweden in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, Denmark, Norway, and Finland consistently dominated Sweden's roasted coffee exports in volume terms, collectively accounting for 74.1% of the total flows.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Sweden in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, M $ US

Following a two-year decline, Sweden's roasted coffee exports in value terms rebounded in 2020. Exports amounted to 135.2 million US dollars, showing an 8.2% increase compared to the previous year. However, over the period from 2017 to 2020, exports decreased by 9.5%, with a compound annual growth rate of -3.3%. The lowest value was recorded in 2019 at 125.0 million US dollars, which also experienced the largest decline of 11.9%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Sweden in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Between 2017 and 2020, Denmark, Norway, and Finland were the top buyers of Swedish roasted coffee in value terms, with shares of 35.8%, 21.8%, and 18.4%, respectively. Together, they represented 76.1% of Sweden's total roasted coffee exports by value.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Sweden in value, 2017-2020

Imports roasted coffee to Sweden

Imports in kind, t

In 2020, Sweden imported 12,912 tonnes of roasted coffee, a 2.5% decrease from 2019. Over the period from 2017 to 2020, imports fell by 9.1%, equating to an annualized decline of 3.1%. The largest drop occurred in 2018 at 7.7%, while the only increase was recorded in 2019 at 1.0%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Sweden in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, the Netherlands, Germany, and Italy were the key suppliers for Sweden's roasted coffee imports in volume terms, with shares of 36.4%, 15.5%, and 11.9%, respectively. Combined, they accounted for 63.8% of total import flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Sweden in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, M $ US

After two years of contraction, Sweden's roasted coffee imports in value terms increased in 2020. The country imported 90.3 million US dollars worth of roasted coffee, reflecting an 8.0% year-over-year rise. However, over the period from 2017 to 2020, imports decreased by 19.2%, with a compound annual growth rate of -6.9%. The lowest value was recorded in 2019 at 90.3 million US dollars, while the largest decline occurred in 2018 at 17.4%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Sweden in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Throughout 2017 to 2020, the Netherlands, Switzerland, and Germany remained the primary sources for Sweden's roasted coffee imports in value terms, collectively representing 62.4% of total import flows.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Sweden in value, 2017-2020