Processed liquid milk market in Poland

Earlier Report Observations

Between 2018 and 2022, production of processed liquid milk in Poland increased from over 2 million tons to 2.2 million tons. This growth was supported by a rise in domestic raw milk output, including a 3.5% increase in 2018 and a further 5.8% surge in July 2022. Export demand also played a role, with shipments of dairy products to China growing by more than 50% during the first three quarters of 2019.

The physical volume of the domestic market fluctuated, reaching a peak of 1.6 million tons in 2022 before declining to 1.5 million tons by 2024. High inflation and rising energy costs reduced household purchasing power, leading to a 1.7% drop in milk and dairy product consumption in 2022. Despite the lower volumes, the market's value rose from $729 million in 2018 to over $1.1 billion in 2023, driven by substantial price increases for items like butter and skimmed milk powder.

Consumer preferences shifted towards more processed, value-added dairy products after 2021, partly influenced by rising meat prices. The industry's financial performance strengthened, with the sector's net profit nearly tripling in early 2024 compared to the previous year, even as production volumes modestly eased.

Production processed liquid milk in Poland

In value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Poland's processed liquid milk production has increased for the third consecutive year. In 2020, output was valued at 1,103 million US dollars, marking a 10.7% rise compared to 2019. Over the period from 2017 to 2020, production grew by 23.4%, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.3%.

Annual dynamics of production in Poland in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

In kind, 2017-2020, K t

Poland's processed liquid milk production has increased for the third consecutive year. In 2020, the country produced 2,194 thousand tonnes, up 3.6% from 2019. Between 2017 and 2020, production rose by 12.8%, equating to an annualized growth rate of 4.1%.

Annual dynamics of production in Poland in kind, 2017-2020, K t

Exports processed liquid milk from Poland

Exports in kind, K t

Poland's processed liquid milk exports have increased for the third consecutive year. In 2020, exports amounted to 768.3 thousand tonnes, which is 2.6% higher than the previous year. Over the period from 2017 to 2020, exports grew by 49.6%, with a compound annual growth rate of 14.4%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Poland in kind, 2017-2020, K t

From 2017 to 2020, Germany, China, and Lithuania were consistently the main destinations for Poland's processed liquid milk exports in volume terms. Germany accounted for 62.9% of exports, China for 9.9%, and Lithuania for 5.0%, together making up 77.7% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Poland in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, M $ US

Poland's processed liquid milk exports have increased for the third consecutive year. In 2020, exports were valued at 359.0 million US dollars, up 7.3% year-over-year. Over the period from 2017 to 2020, exports grew by 54.4%, with a compound annual growth rate of 15.6%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Poland in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

From 2017 to 2020, the leading destinations for Poland's processed liquid milk exports in value terms were Germany, China, and Lithuania. Germany accounted for 55.9% of exports, China for 12.4%, and Lithuania for 4.9%, jointly representing 73.2% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Poland in value, 2017-2020

Imports processed liquid milk to Poland

Imports in kind, K t

Poland's processed liquid milk imports have declined for the second consecutive year. In 2020, imports amounted to 124.4 thousand tonnes, down 22.6% year-over-year. Between 2017 and 2020, imports decreased by 18.3%, equating to an annualized decline of 6.5%. The highest volume was recorded in 2018 at 176.2 thousand tonnes, which also saw the largest increase of 15.7%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Poland in kind, 2017-2020, K t

Over the period from 2017 to 2020, Lithuania, Germany, and Czechia were the biggest contributors to Poland's processed liquid milk imports in volume terms. Lithuania accounted for 46.0% of imports, Germany for 19.3%, and Czechia for 18.7%, together making up 84.0% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Poland in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, M $ US

Poland's processed liquid milk imports have declined for the second consecutive year. In 2020, imports were valued at 72.2 million US dollars, reflecting a decrease of 15.7% compared to 2019. Over the period from 2017 to 2020, imports decreased by 7.9%, with a compound annual decline of 2.7%. The highest value was recorded in 2018 at 72.2 million US dollars, which also saw the largest increase of 14.2%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Poland in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

From 2017 to 2020, Lithuania, Germany, and Czechia continued to be the main suppliers of processed liquid milk to Poland in value terms. Lithuania accounted for 43.5% of imports, Germany for 22.5%, and Czechia for 16.1%, jointly forming 82.1% of total imports.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Poland in value, 2017-2020