Concentrated sweetened milk and cream market in Norway

Earlier Report Observations

The market for concentrated sweetened milk and cream in Norway expanded steadily from 2018 to 2021, with volume increasing from 1 456 t to 1 656 t. This growth was supported by rising imports, which grew from 621 t to 864 t. In 2020, the introduction of a cap on basic milk quotas for cow and goat milk limited domestic production capacity, leading to greater reliance on imported products to satisfy demand.

Market volume peaked in 2021 before contracting to 1 580 t in 2022 and stabilizing at 1 582 t in 2023. During this period, a sharp reduction in exports of concentrated milk increased domestic availability, while adjustments to the milk price regulation system affected producer profitability. State-owned dairies, including TINE, maintained their dominant position in the market.

Consumer behavior shifted toward home baking and less processed foods in 2024-2025, boosting demand for concentrated sweetened milk. Norwegian milk production rose significantly, and exports of concentrated milk fell further, altering the supply balance. New labeling regulations for additives and nutritional content took effect in April 2025, and changes to distribution subsidies for drinking milk modified the competitive landscape for smaller players.

Production concentrated sweetened milk and cream in Norway

In kind, 2018-2021, K t

Top producers of concentrated sweetened milk and cream, 2018-2021

World map of production of concentrated sweetened milk and cream, 2018-2021

In 2021, Norway produced 1 K t of concentrated sweetened milk and cream, showing no significant change from the previous year. Over the period from 2018 to 2021, production decreased by 5.1%, with a compound annual growth rate of 1.7%. The lowest production level was recorded in 2020 at 1 K t, which also saw the largest decline of 3.5%.

Annual dynamics of production in Norway in kind, 2018-2021, K t

Exports concentrated sweetened milk and cream from Norway

Exports in kind, t

The data reveals irregular changes, indicating a volatile market environment. The lowest export volume was recorded in 2019 at 0.3 t, while the highest occurred in 2020 at 1.3 t, representing a peak-to-trough ratio of 3.9 times. This marked an abrupt rise of 291.4% compared to 2019. The largest decline was recorded in 2019 at 26.1%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Norway in kind, 2018-2021, t

From 2018 to 2021, the Netherlands, Germany, and Denmark were the principal destinations for exports in kind, accounting for 61.5%, 15.1%, and 14.0% of exports, respectively. Together, they represented 90.7% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's exports from Norway in kind, 2018-2021

Exports in value, K $ US

Volatility characterized the market behavior during these years. The lowest export value was recorded in 2019 at 1 K $ US, while the highest was reached in 2020 at 2 K $ US, with a peak-to-trough ratio of 2 times. This represented an increase of 102.5% compared to the prior year. The largest decline was recorded in 2019 at 15.4%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Norway in value, 2018-2021, K $ US

Over the period from 2018 to 2021, the Netherlands, Germany, and the United Kingdom consistently occupied leading positions in the country structure of exports in value terms, with shares of 42.0%, 29.9%, and 14.5%, respectively. Together, they accounted for 86.4% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's exports from Norway in value, 2018-2021

Imports concentrated sweetened milk and cream to Norway

Imports in kind, t

Foreign supplies of concentrated sweetened milk and cream to Norway increased for the third consecutive year. In 2021, import volume totaled 863.7 t, corresponding to a rise of 3.1% versus the previous year. Over the period from 2018 to 2021, imports increased by 39.1%, with a compound annual growth rate of 11.6%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Norway in kind, 2018-2021, t

From 2018 to 2021, Belgium, the Netherlands, and Germany formed the main group of destinations for imports in kind of concentrated sweetened milk and cream to Norway, with shares of 48.9%, 25.1%, and 9.1%, respectively. Together, they accounted for 83.1% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's imports to Norway in kind, 2018-2021

Imports in value, K $ US

Imports of concentrated sweetened milk and cream to Norway increased for the third consecutive year. In 2021, Norway imported 3 753 K $ US, marking a moderate uptick of 7.3% versus the previous year. Between 2018 and 2021, imports increased by 36.1%, equating to an annualized rate of 10.8%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Norway in value, 2018-2021, K $ US

From 2018 to 2021, Belgium, the Netherlands, and Sweden consistently remained the main destinations for imports in value terms, with shares of 53.2%, 21.9%, and 9.9%, respectively. Together, they accounted for 85.0% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's imports to Norway in value, 2018-2021