Concentrated sweetened milk and cream market in Central Asia

Earlier Report Observations

The market for concentrated sweetened milk and cream in Central Asia expanded in 2019, reaching 48 314 tonnes, up from 42 450 tonnes the previous year. This growth was interrupted in 2020 when the market volume contracted sharply to 30 768 tonnes, a change largely attributable to the widespread supply chain and demand disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Following the initial shock, the market continued to face pressure in 2021, declining slightly to 28 702 tonnes. A recovery phase began in 2022, with the market volume rising to 34 239 tonnes and further to 36 361 tonnes in 2023, though it remained below the pre-pandemic peak. This gradual rebound coincided with a global shift in consumer behavior towards more home cooking and baking, which supported demand for longer-shelf-life products like sweetened condensed milk.

Production concentrated sweetened milk and cream in Central Asia

In kind, 2017-2020, t

Top producers of concentrated sweetened milk and cream, 2017-2020

World map of production of concentrated sweetened milk and cream, 2017-2020

In Central Asia, production of concentrated sweetened milk and cream reached 22,268 tons in 2020, representing a significant 42.3% decrease compared to the previous year. Looking at the period from 2017 to 2020, production declined by 33.2%, with an average annual decrease of 12.6%. The highest production level was recorded in 2019 at 38,575 tons, which also saw the largest annual increase of 22.7%.

Annual dynamics of production in Central Asia in kind, 2017-2020, t

In value, 2017-2020, K $ US

The value of concentrated sweetened milk and cream production in Central Asia stood at 40,280 thousand US dollars in 2020, showing a sharp 47.4% drop from the year before. From 2017 to 2020, production value fell by 52.8%, translating to an average annual decline of 22.2%. The most substantial increase occurred in 2019, with a 26.6% rise.

Annual dynamics of production in Central Asia in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Exports concentrated sweetened milk and cream from Central Asia

Exports in kind, t

Exports of concentrated sweetened milk and cream from Central Asia declined for the third year in a row. In 2020, export volumes amounted to 290 tons, marking a 0.8% decrease from 2019. Over the 2017-2020 period, exports dropped by 69.9%, with an average annual reduction of 33.0%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Central Asia in kind, 2017-2020, t

Between 2017 and 2020, Russia and Afghanistan were the primary destinations for exports in volume terms, together accounting for 11.3% of total export flows.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Central Asia in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

Export revenues from concentrated sweetened milk and cream in Central Asia fell for the third consecutive year. In 2020, exports reached 524 thousand US dollars, reflecting a 9.7% decrease compared to 2019. From 2017 to 2020, export value declined by 78.7%, with an average annual drop of 40.3%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Central Asia in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

During 2017-2020, Russia and Afghanistan contributed the most to export value, jointly representing 16.3% of total export flows.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Central Asia in value, 2017-2020

Imports concentrated sweetened milk and cream to Central Asia

Imports in kind, t

Imports of concentrated sweetened milk and cream into Central Asia decreased for the third year in succession. In 2020, import volume was 8,790 tons, which is 12.4% lower than in 2019. Over the 2017-2020 period, imports fell by 32.8%, with an average annual decrease of 12.4%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Central Asia in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, Russia and Belarus dominated imports in volume terms, together making up 89.8% of total import flows, while other countries accounted for a smaller, more diversified share.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Central Asia in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

Import spending on concentrated sweetened milk and cream in Central Asia declined for the third straight year. In 2020, imports totaled 10,533 thousand US dollars, showing a 15.8% decrease from 2019. Between 2017 and 2020, import value dropped by 31.8%, with an average annual decline of 12.0%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Central Asia in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

In the 2017-2020 period, Russia and Belarus were the leading sources for imports in value terms, with a combined share of 92.5% of total import flows, while the remainder was spread across other countries.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Central Asia in value, 2017-2020