Concentrated or sweetened milk and cream market in Tajikistan

Earlier Report Observations

From 2018 to 2023, the market volume for concentrated or sweetened milk and cream in Tajikistan experienced significant fluctuations. After a stable period around 4 400 tons in 2018-2019, the market contracted to 3 484 tons in 2020 and further to 2 841 tons in 2021. This decline was primarily driven by a sharp drop in imports, which fell from over 2 000 tons to just 393 tons in 2021. The market then recovered to 3 381 tons in 2022 and reached 4 180 tons in 2023, as imports rebounded and domestic production continued its steady growth.

Domestic production increased consistently each year, rising from 2 304 tons in 2018 to 2 626 tons in 2023. This gradual expansion helped offset some of the import volatility. Imports, however, remained a key component of market supply, with Russia and Kazakhstan as major sources. The negligible export activity meant that market size was largely determined by production and import levels.

In 2024, the dairy sector in Tajikistan saw the opening of 48 new food processing plants, which expanded production capacity and created hundreds of jobs. This development, along with sustained import flows from regional partners, supported the overall availability of concentrated and sweetened milk products. The high share of private trade continued to shape distribution channels for these goods.

Production concentrated or sweetened milk and cream in Tajikistan

In kind, 2017-2020, t

Top producers of concentrated or sweetened milk and cream, 2017-2020

World map of production of concentrated or sweetened milk and cream, 2017-2020

Tajikistan's production of concentrated or sweetened milk and cream has grown for the third year in a row. In 2020, the country produced 2 397 tonnes, marking a 1.9% increase compared to the previous year. Looking at the period from 2017 to 2020, production rose by 7.3%, which translates to an average annual growth rate of 2.4%.

Annual dynamics of production in Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020, t

Exports concentrated or sweetened milk and cream from Tajikistan

Exports in kind, t

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, Uzbekistan was the sole export partner for Tajikistan in terms of volume, accounting for 100.0% of all exports.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Throughout 2017–2020, Uzbekistan remained the primary export partner in value terms, representing 100.0% of total export flows.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020

Imports concentrated or sweetened milk and cream to Tajikistan

Imports in kind, t

Tajikistan's imports of concentrated or sweetened milk and cream have fallen for the third consecutive year. In 2020, imports totaled 1 087 tonnes, a sharp decline of 47.5% from 2019. Over the 2017–2020 period, imports dropped by 52.4%, with a compound annual growth rate of -21.9%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020, t

Between 2017 and 2020, Russia, Kazakhstan, and Pakistan were the main sources for Tajikistan's imports of concentrated or sweetened milk and cream by volume. Russia led with 50.4% of imports, followed by Kazakhstan at 14.8% and Pakistan at 13.0%. Together, these three countries accounted for 78.2% of total import flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

In 2020, Tajikistan's imports of concentrated or sweetened milk and cream were valued at 956 thousand US dollars, down 45.4% year-over-year. From 2017 to 2020, import value decreased by 51.4%, averaging an annual decline of 21.4%. The only increase during this period occurred in 2019, with a modest rise of 0.2%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, Russia, Kazakhstan, and Ukraine dominated Tajikistan's import structure in value terms. Russia accounted for 48.2% of imports, Kazakhstan for 13.2%, and Ukraine for 9.9%. Combined, these three countries represented 71.3% of total import flows.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020