Concentrated milk and cream market in Belarus

Earlier Report Observations

The market for concentrated milk and cream in Belarus showed notable growth in 2019, with volume rising by 30% to 160.0 thousand tons. After a period of stability in 2020 at 164.9 thousand tons, consumption contracted over the next two years, falling to 138.9 thousand tons by 2022. A recovery followed in 2023, bringing the market size to 153.0 thousand tons.

Domestic production followed a similar trajectory, increasing to a peak of 227.2 thousand tons in 2020 before declining to 188.1 thousand tons in 2022. Output rebounded to 204.7 thousand tons in 2023, indicating a restoration of manufacturing activity. Imports, while remaining a minor part of supply, grew steadily from 0.9 to 2.2 thousand tons over the same period.

In value terms, the market reached $273.7 million in 2019, then experienced some volatility before settling at $266.0 million in 2023. The overall increase in market value over the period was more pronounced than the volume change, suggesting shifts in product pricing or a move toward higher-value segments.

Production concentrated milk and cream in Belarus

In kind, 2017-2020, K t

Belarus was among the world's leading producers of concentrated milk and cream from 2017 to 2020, ranking 8th globally by production volume.

Top producers of concentrated milk and cream, 2017-2020

World map of production of concentrated milk and cream, 2017-2020

Concentrated milk and cream production in Belarus increased for the second consecutive year in 2020, reaching 227.2 thousand tonnes. This represented a 7.0% rise compared to 2019. Over the 2017-2020 period, production grew by 24.2%, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.5%. The lowest production level was recorded in 2018 at 182.3 thousand tonnes, which saw a slight decline of 0.3%. The largest increase occurred in 2019, with production jumping by 16.5%.

Annual dynamics of production in Belarus in kind, 2017-2020, K t

In value, 2017-2020, M $ US

After two years of growth, Belarus's concentrated milk and cream production in value terms declined in 2020. Output was valued at 360.9 million US dollars, down 0.9% from the previous year. Between 2017 and 2020, production value increased by 47.3%, equating to an annualized growth rate of 13.8%. The peak value was recorded in 2019 at 364.2 million US dollars, which saw the largest increase of 35.9%.

Annual dynamics of production in Belarus in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Exports concentrated milk and cream from Belarus

Exports in kind, t

Following a two-year decline, Belarus's exports of concentrated milk and cream in volume terms increased in 2020. The country exported 64 166 tonnes, marking a substantial year-on-year advance of 19.8%. Over the 2017-2020 period, exports decreased by 30.3%, with an annualized decline rate of 11.3%. The lowest export volume was recorded in 2019 at 53 563 tonnes, while the largest decline occurred in 2018, falling by 34.1%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Belarus in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, Russia clearly dominated Belarus's exports of concentrated milk and cream in volume terms, accounting for 78.1% of total flows. Other countries each held significantly smaller shares.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Belarus in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, M $ US

Concentrated milk and cream exports from Belarus in value terms increased for the second consecutive year in 2020, totalling 101.9 million US dollars. This corresponded to a substantial improvement of 10.9% compared to 2019. Over the 2017-2020 period, exports decreased by 17.3%, with a compound annual decline rate of 6.1%. The lowest value was recorded in 2018 at 89.2 million US dollars, which saw the largest decline of 27.7%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Belarus in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

In 2017-2020, Russia concentrated most of Belarus's exports in value terms, taking 78.9% of total flows, with a fragmented tail of other markets.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Belarus in value, 2017-2020

Imports concentrated milk and cream to Belarus

Imports in kind, t

Belarus's imports of concentrated milk and cream in volume terms increased for the third consecutive year in 2020, reaching 1 891 tonnes. This represented a significant 56.2% amplification compared to 2019. Over the 2017-2020 period, imports grew by 196.1%, with a compound annual growth rate of 43.6%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Belarus in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, concentrated milk and cream imports to Belarus were largely oriented towards Russia, whose share in total imports in volume terms reached 98.9%.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Belarus in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, M $ US

Foreign supplies of concentrated milk and cream to Belarus increased for the third consecutive year in 2020, with imports valued at approximately 2.2 million US dollars. This reflected a sharp increase of 62.9% compared to 2019. Between 2017 and 2020, imports rose by 185.8%, equating to an annualized growth rate of 41.9%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Belarus in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Throughout 2017-2020, Russia remained the dominant and almost sole destination for imports in value terms of concentrated milk and cream to Belarus, with a share of 98.3%.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Belarus in value, 2017-2020