Cereal germ market in Asia

Earlier Report Observations

The cereal germ market in France grew from 9.1 million tons in 2018 to 9.6 million tons in 2023, with production increasing over the period. This expansion was supported by the entry of major international players like Cargill and Groupe Roullier, which strengthened processing capacity, while dominant cooperatives such as Vivescia and InVivo provided stability in the supply chain. Geopolitical tensions from the Russia-Ukraine conflict influenced trade flows, with European tariff decisions affecting import patterns.

In 2023, wet weather conditions posed challenges to yields, but planned increases in maize acreage helped sustain production volumes. Imports fell sharply to 73 000 tons from 134 000 tons the previous year as the market adjusted to ample domestic stocks. By 2024, excess moisture and lack of sunshine were forecast to reduce the harvest, while Brussels imposed high tariffs on Russian grains, effectively banning them from the EU market and reinforcing reliance on domestic output.

Despite fluctuations, the market demonstrated resilience through climatic and geopolitical volatility. The continuous influence of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, combined with structural factors like the presence of key cooperatives and new entrants, shaped production and trade dynamics throughout the period.

Production cereal germ in Asia

In kind, 2017-2020, K t

Top producers of cereal germ, 2017-2020

World map of production of cereal germ, 2017-2020

Asia's cereal germ production saw a two-year increase before declining. In 2019, production reached its peak at 9 433 K t, marking a 4.6% increase. However, by 2020, production fell to 8 867 K t, representing a 6.0% decrease compared to 2019.

Annual dynamics of production in Asia in kind, 2017-2020, K t

Exports cereal germ from Asia

Exports in kind, K t

The data shows irregular changes, indicating a volatile market environment. In 2018, exports hit their lowest point at 2.1 K t, with a 34.9% decline. By 2020, exports surged to 5.5 K t, a 118.0% increase from the previous year, marking the highest volume and creating a 2.6-fold gap compared to 2018.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Asia in kind, 2017-2020, K t

From 2017 to 2020, Russia was the primary market for Asia's cereal germ exports in kind, accounting for 2.5% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Asia in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

Cereal germ deliveries from Asia increased for the second consecutive year. In 2018, the value dropped to its minimum at 3 919 K $ US, with a 30.6% decline. By 2020, exports rose to 5 713 K $ US, a 25.8% increase compared to 2019.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Asia in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, the country structure of exports in value terms was largely shaped by the United States and Russia, which together accounted for 3.8% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Asia in value, 2017-2020

Imports cereal germ to Asia

Imports in kind, K t

Asia's cereal germ import volume increased for the second consecutive year. In 2018, imports were at their lowest at 78.2 K t, with a 16.2% decline. By 2020, imports grew to 103.4 K t, a sharp 29.9% year-over-year improvement. Over the period 2017-2020, imports increased by 10.8%, with a CAGR of 3.5%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Asia in kind, 2017-2020, K t

From 2017 to 2020, Bulgaria (32.8% of imports in kind), Russia (29.3% of imports in kind), and Austria (14.2% of imports in kind) played leading roles in cereal germ imports to Asia, jointly accounting for 76.3% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Asia in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

After a two-year decline, cereal germ deliveries to Asia increased. In 2018, the largest decline of 25.7% was recorded, and by 2019, the value reached its minimum at 31 358 K $ US. In 2020, imports rose to 42 795 K $ US, showing a 36.5% advance compared to the previous year. Between 2017 and 2020, imports decreased by 7.2%, equating to a 2.4% annualized rate.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Asia in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, Bulgaria (32.7% of imports in value terms), Russia (26.9% of imports in value terms), and Austria (14.7% of imports in value terms) accounted for the largest share of imports in value terms, together comprising 74.3% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Asia in value, 2017-2020