Market research

Bread market in Uganda

Release date: Mar 30, 2026

Submission: 15 minutes after payment

Research period: 2017-2025

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Earlier Report Observations

Uganda's bread market volume grew from 3 116 tons in 2018 to 3 307 tons in 2019, primarily driven by urbanization and changing dietary patterns that boosted demand for healthier bread varieties. The market then contracted to 2 883 tons in 2020 as the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted supply chains and altered consumption habits.

Market volume recovered to 3 034 tons in 2021, supported by continued urbanization and the implementation of the Markets Act 2021, which reformed the regulation of public and private markets to improve food distribution. However, volume fell to 2 713 tons in 2022 due to persistent challenges in the agricultural supply chain, even as competition intensified with the entry of new regional and local players.

A sharp rebound occurred in 2023, with market volume reaching 3 650 tons. This growth coincided with the enactment of the Uganda Competition Act 2023, which aimed to foster fair competition and protect consumers, creating a more transparent business environment for the bakery sector.

Table of content

1. Disclaimer
2. Terms of use of the report
3. Product codes in the statistical classifications used in the report
4. Key Market Indicators and Trends
1. 4.1. Key Market Indicators
  1. 4.1.1. In kind
    1. 4.1.1.1. Production, 2018-2023
    2. 4.1.1.2. Imports, 2018-2024
    3. 4.1.1.3. Exports, 2018-2024
    4. 4.1.1.4. Market size, 2018-2023
2. 4.2. Market Trends and Factors
5. Production
1. 5.1. Production in Uganda
  1. 5.1.1. Annual dynamics of production in Uganda in kind, 2018-2023, t
  2. 5.1.2. Annual dynamics of production in Uganda in value, 2018-2023, $ US
2. 5.2. Global production by Country, 2018-2023
  1. 5.2.1. Annual dynamics of production by macroregions in kind, 2018-2023, t
  2. 5.2.2. Dynamics of production structure by macroregions in kind, 2018-2023
  3. 5.2.3. Annual dynamics of production by country in kind, 2018-2023, t
  4. 5.2.4. Structure of production by countries in kind, 2018-2023
  5. 5.2.5. Dynamics of peoduction structure by countries in kind, 2018-2023
6. Imports
1. 6.1. Imports (Direct Data)
  1. 6.1.1. Imports - Total information
  2. 6.1.2. Imports in kind, t
    1. 6.1.2.1. Annual dynamics of product's imports to Uganda in kind, 2018-2024, t
    2. 6.1.2.2. Dynamics of product's imports in kind to Uganda by countries, 2018-2024, t
    3. 6.1.2.3. Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2018-2024
  3. 6.1.3. Imports in value, K $ US
    1. 6.1.3.1. Annual dynamics of product's imports to Uganda in value, 2018-2024, K $ US
    2. 6.1.3.2. Dynamics of product's imports in value to Uganda by countries, 2018-2024, K $ US
    3. 6.1.3.3. Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2018-2024
  4. 6.1.4. Average price of product's imports, $ US/t
    1. 6.1.4.1. Annual dynamics of average price of product's imports to Uganda, 2018-2024, $ US/t
    2. 6.1.4.2. Dynamics of average price of product's imports to Uganda by countries, 2018-2024, $ US/t
2. 6.2. Imports (Mirror Data)
  1. 6.2.1. Imports - Total information
  2. 6.2.2. Imports in kind, t
    1. 6.2.2.1. Annual dynamics of product's imports to Uganda in kind, 2018-2024, t
    2. 6.2.2.2. Dynamics of product's imports in kind to Uganda by countries, 2018-2024, t
    3. 6.2.2.3. Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2018-2024
  3. 6.2.3. Imports in value, K $ US
    1. 6.2.3.1. Annual dynamics of product's imports to Uganda in value, 2018-2024, K $ US
    2. 6.2.3.2. Dynamics of product's imports in value to Uganda by countries, 2018-2024, K $ US
    3. 6.2.3.3. Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2018-2024
  4. 6.2.4. Average price of product's imports, $ US/t
    1. 6.2.4.1. Annual dynamics of average price of product's imports to Uganda, 2018-2024, $ US/t
    2. 6.2.4.2. Dynamics of average price of product's imports to Uganda by countries, 2018-2024, $ US/t
7. Exports
1. 7.1. Exports (Direct Data)
  1. 7.1.1. Exports - Total information
  2. 7.1.2. Exports in kind, t
    1. 7.1.2.1. Annual dynamics of product's exports from Uganda in kind, 2018-2024, t
    2. 7.1.2.2. Dynamics of product's exports in kind from Uganda by countries, 2018-2024, t
    3. 7.1.2.3. Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2018-2024
  3. 7.1.3. Exports in value, K $ US
    1. 7.1.3.1. Annual dynamics of product's exports from Uganda in value, 2018-2024, K $ US
    2. 7.1.3.2. Dynamics of product's exports in value from Uganda by countries, 2018-2024, K $ US
    3. 7.1.3.3. Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2018-2024
  4. 7.1.4. Average price of product's exports, $ US/t
    1. 7.1.4.1. Annual dynamics of average price of product's exports from Uganda, 2018-2024, $ US/t
    2. 7.1.4.2. Dynamics of average price of product's exports from Uganda by countries, 2018-2024, $ US/t
2. 7.2. Exports (Mirror Data)
  1. 7.2.1. Exports - Total information
  2. 7.2.2. Exports in kind, t
    1. 7.2.2.1. Annual dynamics of product's exports from Uganda in kind, 2018-2024, t
    2. 7.2.2.2. Dynamics of product's exports in kind from Uganda by countries, 2018-2024, t
    3. 7.2.2.3. Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2018-2024
  3. 7.2.3. Exports in value, K $ US
    1. 7.2.3.1. Annual dynamics of product's exports from Uganda in value, 2018-2024, K $ US
    2. 7.2.3.2. Dynamics of product's exports in value from Uganda by countries, 2018-2024, K $ US
    3. 7.2.3.3. Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2018-2024
  4. 7.2.4. Average price of product's exports, $ US/t
    1. 7.2.4.1. Annual dynamics of average price of product's exports from Uganda, 2018-2024, $ US/t
    2. 7.2.4.2. Dynamics of average price of product's exports from Uganda by countries, 2018-2024, $ US/t
8. Trade balance
1. 8.1. Trade balance (Direct Data)
  1. 8.1.1. In kind, t
  2. 8.1.2. In value, K $ US
2. 8.2. Trade balance (Mirror Data)
  1. 8.2.1. In kind, t
  2. 8.2.2. In value, K $ US
9. Top buying and selling countries, 2018-2024
1. 9.1. Direct Data
  1. 9.1.1. Import in Value by Countries-buyers
  2. 9.1.2. Export in Value by Countries-suppliers
2. 9.2. Mirror Data
  1. 9.2.1. Import in Value by Countries-buyers
  2. 9.2.2. Export in Value by Countries-suppliers

Production bread in Uganda

In kind, 2017-2020, t

Top producers of bread, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

World map of production of bread, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

Uganda produced 2 781 tonnes of bread in 2020, representing an 11.7% decrease compared to 2019. Over the 2017-2020 period, production fell by 11.5%, with a compound annual growth rate of 4.0%. The highest production level was recorded in 2019 at 3 149 tonnes, which also saw the largest annual increase of 6.9%.

Annual dynamics of production in Uganda in kind, 2017-2020, t

Parameter		2018	2019	2020	CAGR
1	Change from last year	(6.2%)	6.9%	(11.7%)	(4.0%)

Source: SHEV.io

Exports bread from Uganda

Exports in kind, t

The market exhibited significant volatility during these years. Export volumes reached their lowest point in 2018 at 8.4 tonnes and peaked in 2020 at 41.0 tonnes, representing a 4.9-fold difference between these extremes. The 2020 figure marked a substantial 78.4% year-over-year increase. The largest decline occurred in 2018 with a 22.1% drop, while 2019 saw the most significant growth at 174.7%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Uganda in kind, 2017-2020, t

Parameter		2018	2019	2020	CAGR
1	Change from last year	(22.1%)	174.7%	78.4%	56.3%

Source: SHEV.io

Between 2017 and 2020, Kenya accounted for 76.4% of Uganda's total bread exports in volume terms, with the remaining share distributed among numerous smaller markets.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

World map of product's exports from Uganda in kind, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

Exports in value, K $ US

The market demonstrated notable volatility throughout the observed period. Export values bottomed out in 2018 at 9.5 thousand US dollars and reached their peak in 2020 at 28.2 thousand US dollars, representing a threefold difference. The 2020 value showed a 73.6% increase compared to 2019. The largest decline was recorded in 2018 at 1.1%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Uganda in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Parameter		2018	2019	2020	CAGR
1	Change from last year	(1.1%)	71.3%	73.6%	43.3%

Source: SHEV.io

From 2017 to 2020, Kenya and the Democratic Republic of the Congo together represented 81.0% of Uganda's total bread export value, with the remainder thinly spread across other markets.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

World map of product's exports from Uganda in value, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

Imports bread to Uganda

Imports in kind, t

Uganda imported 142.5 tonnes of bread in 2020, reflecting a 21.1% year-over-year decrease. Over the 2017-2020 period, imports declined by 40%, corresponding to a compound annual growth rate of 15.7%. The largest decrease occurred in 2018 with a 25.2% drop, while 2019 saw a modest increase of 1.7%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Uganda in kind, 2017-2020, t

Parameter		2018	2019	2020	CAGR
1	Change from last year	(25.2%)	1.7%	(21.1%)	(15.7%)

Source: SHEV.io

During 2017-2020, India (21.8% of import volume), the United Arab Emirates (21.5%), and South Africa (14.1%) were the leading sources of bread imports to Uganda, collectively accounting for 57.3% of total volume.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

World map of product's imports to Uganda in kind, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

Imports in value, K $ US

Uganda's bread import value declined for the second consecutive year, reaching approximately 303.8 thousand US dollars in 2020 with a 7.9% year-over-year reduction. Between 2017 and 2020, imports increased by 16.1%, equivalent to a 5.1% annualized growth rate. The highest value was recorded in 2018 at 339.2 thousand US dollars, which also saw the largest annual increase of 29.7%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Uganda in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Parameter		2018	2019	2020	CAGR
1	Change from last year	29.7%	(2.7%)	(7.9%)	5.1%

Source: SHEV.io

Throughout 2017-2020, Uganda's bread import value was not heavily concentrated among a few markets. India (18.2% of import value), South Africa (17.4%), and Egypt (13.2%) together accounted for just 48.7% of total import value.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

World map of product's imports to Uganda in value, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io