Wood fuel market in Tajikistan, 2026

Earlier Report Observations

From 2018 to 2020, the wood fuel market in Tajikistan remained steady at approximately 3.7 million m³ annually. During this period, global demand for wood fuel increased due to production issues in Russia and wildfires in Portugal, which indirectly influenced regional supply chains and fossil fuel prices. In 2019, the establishment of new state-owned companies for electricity transmission and distribution reshaped the energy sector, potentially affecting fuel demand patterns.

Market volume edged up to 3.68 million m³ in 2021, supported by rising investments in the country's industrial and mining sectors, which boosted overall fuel consumption. The following year, a sharp increase in gasoline and diesel prices, driven by higher global oil prices, made wood fuel more competitive, contributing to further market growth to 3.68 million m³. Concurrently, the government's electricity sector reforms, including management contracts with international companies, altered energy distribution dynamics. By 2023, the market stabilized at 3.68 million m³ amid growing average wages and ongoing energy reforms.

Production wood fuel in Tajikistan

In kind, 2017-2020, K m³

Top producers of wood fuel, 2017-2020

World map of production of wood fuel, 2017-2020

In 2020, Tajikistan produced 3 674 thousand cubic meters of wood fuel, with production remaining relatively stable year-over-year. The largest decline was recorded in 2018 at 0.0%, while the largest increase also occurred in 2018 at 0.0%.

Annual dynamics of production in Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020, K m³

In value, 2017-2020, M $ US

In 2020, the output of wood fuel in Tajikistan was valued at 282.6 million US dollars, reflecting a 15.6% decrease compared to the previous year. Between 2017 and 2020, production fell by 31.4%, equating to an annualized decline of 11.8%. The largest decline was recorded in 2018 at 26.3%, while the largest increase occurred in 2019 at 10.2%.

Annual dynamics of production in Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020, M $ US

Exports wood fuel from Tajikistan

Exports in kind, m³

The market showed significant volatility during these years. Exports peaked in 2019 at 168.7 cubic meters and reached their lowest point in 2020 at 26.1 cubic meters, representing a 6.5-fold difference between these years. In 2020, cross-border shipments of wood fuel from Tajikistan amounted to 26.1 cubic meters, marking a steep decline of 84.5% from the previous year. The largest increase was recorded in 2019 at 74.7%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020, m³

From 2017 to 2020, exports in kind were heavily concentrated on Germany, which accounted for 98.2% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

The market exhibited volatility over the observed period. The highest value was reached in 2019 at 15.4 thousand US dollars, while the lowest occurred in 2020 at 2.0 thousand US dollars, showing a peak-to-trough ratio of 7.6 times. In 2020, Tajikistan exported 2.0 thousand US dollars of wood fuel, which is 86.9% lower than in 2019. The largest increase was recorded in 2019 at 92.4%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, Germany was by far the main destination for exports in value terms of wood fuel from Tajikistan, accounting for 97.9% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020

Imports wood fuel to Tajikistan

Imports in kind, m³

There were noticeable fluctuations in market performance during this period. Imports reached their lowest point in 2017 and peaked in 2018, showing a 2-fold variation between these years. In 2020, wood fuel volumes imported by Tajikistan stood at 409.4 cubic meters, up by 34.8% compared to 2019. The maximum value was recorded in 2018 at 460.8 cubic meters. The largest decline was recorded in 2019 at 34.1%, while the largest increase occurred in 2018 at 97.0%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020, m³

From 2017 to 2020, the three largest markets for imports in kind were China, Afghanistan, and Russia, which together accounted for 71.0% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Tajikistan in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

Volatility characterized the market behavior during these years. Imports reached their lowest point in 2017 and peaked in 2018, showing a 2.6-fold amplitude. In 2020, imported wood fuel volumes in Tajikistan totaled 83.1 thousand US dollars, representing a decrease of 22.1% year-over-year. The maximum value was recorded in 2018 at 131.4 thousand US dollars. The largest increase was recorded in 2018 at 160.1%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, the largest suppliers of wood fuel to Tajikistan in value terms were China (42.5% of imports), Russia (36.5% of imports), and Afghanistan (7.7% of imports), together forming 86.7% of total imports in value terms.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Tajikistan in value, 2017-2020