Wheat and meslin flour and cereals market in Kyrgyzstan

Earlier Report Observations

From 2018 to 2023, the market volume for wheat and meslin flour and cereals in Kyrgyzstan showed considerable variation, beginning at 623.8 thousand tons in 2018 and falling to a low of 482.3 thousand tons in 2021 before a partial recovery in the following years.

The market decline to 556.1 thousand tons in 2019 resulted from lower domestic production as farmers reduced wheat planting due to poor profitability and regional drought. A rebound to 603.4 thousand tons in 2020 occurred alongside government price caps and Kyrgyzstan's Customs Union membership, which supported import availability. A sharp drop to 482.3 thousand tons in 2021 took place despite a temporary VAT exemption on wheat and flour imports aimed at bolstering supply. Growth to 524.3 thousand tons in 2022 was driven by higher production, while in 2023 the market stabilized at 524.1 thousand tons as increased imports offset a slight domestic production dip caused by continued drought.

State measures to regulate bread and flour prices were repeatedly applied throughout the period, and the market maintained its dependence on wheat and flour imports from Russia and Kazakhstan.

Production wheat and meslin flour and cereals in Kyrgyzstan

In kind, 2018-2021, K t

Top producers of wheat and meslin flour and cereals, 2018-2021

World map of production of wheat and meslin flour and cereals, 2018-2021

In 2021, Kyrgyzstan produced 425.9 thousand tons of wheat and meslin flour and cereals, marking a significant 18.8% decrease compared to the previous year. Over the period from 2018 to 2021, production fell by 24.1%, with an average annual decline of 8.8%. The largest increase occurred in 2020, when production rose by 10.0%.

Annual dynamics of production in Kyrgyzstan in kind, 2018-2021, K t

Exports wheat and meslin flour and cereals from Kyrgyzstan

Exports in kind, t

The market exhibited volatility during the observed period. Exports reached their lowest point in 2021 and peaked in 2020, showing a 140-fold fluctuation between these years. In 2021, Kyrgyzstan's exports of wheat and meslin flour and cereals amounted to just 3 tons, representing a dramatic 99.3% drop from the previous year. The maximum value was recorded in 2020 at 428 tons. The largest increase occurred in 2019, with exports surging by 259.5%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Kyrgyzstan in kind, 2018-2021, t

From 2018 to 2021, Tajikistan and Kazakhstan remained the primary destinations for exports in kind, together accounting for 80.9% of total flows. Other partners individually contributed much smaller shares.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's exports from Kyrgyzstan in kind, 2018-2021

Exports in value, K $ US

The data reveals irregular changes, indicating a volatile market environment. Exports in value terms hit their lowest point in 2021 and peaked in 2020, with a 192-fold gap between these years. In 2021, Kyrgyzstan exported 1 thousand US dollars worth of wheat and meslin flour and cereals, down by 99.5% compared to the previous year. The maximum value was recorded in 2020 at 201 thousand US dollars. The largest increase occurred in 2020, with a jump of 661.0%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Kyrgyzstan in value, 2018-2021, K $ US

Throughout 2018 to 2021, the country structure of exports in value terms was dominated by Tajikistan, which accounted for 76.0% of total flows. Other destinations played relatively minor roles.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's exports from Kyrgyzstan in value, 2018-2021

Imports wheat and meslin flour and cereals to Kyrgyzstan

Imports in kind, t

Wheat and meslin flour and cereals deliveries to Kyrgyzstan declined for the second consecutive year. In 2021, imports were recorded at 56 419 tons, marking a steep reduction of 29.0% compared to the previous year. Over the period from 2018 to 2021, imports decreased by 9.6%, with an average annual decline of 3.3%. The maximum value was recorded in 2019 at 79 605 tons. The largest increase occurred in 2019, with imports rising by 27.5%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Kyrgyzstan in kind, 2018-2021, t

From 2018 to 2021, Kazakhstan played a dominant role in imports in kind of wheat and meslin flour and cereals to Kyrgyzstan, consistently accounting for 95.1% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's imports to Kyrgyzstan in kind, 2018-2021

Imports in value, K $ US

After a two-year increase, wheat and meslin flour and cereals deliveries to Kyrgyzstan declined. In 2021, imports totalled 15 094 thousand US dollars, indicating a decrease of 27.0% year-over-year. Over the period from 2018 to 2021, imports increased by 8.1%, with an average annual growth of 2.6%. The maximum value was recorded in 2020 at 20 667 thousand US dollars. The largest increase occurred in 2019, with a rise of 39.2%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Kyrgyzstan in value, 2018-2021, K $ US

In 2018 to 2021, imports in value terms of wheat and meslin flour and cereals to Kyrgyzstan were almost entirely concentrated in Kazakhstan, whose share reached 91.2%.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's imports to Kyrgyzstan in value, 2018-2021