Concentrated not sweetened milk and cream market Ukraine

Earlier Report Observations

In 2018, the market for concentrated not sweetened milk and cream in Ukraine reached 43 748 t, supported by state-owned enterprises and emerging consumer preference for sugar-free products. By 2019, the market volume fell to 38 653 t, although the industry planned to open new European-style dairy farms. The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted logistics and consumer demand in 2020, contributing to a further decline to 36 433 t.

The market recovered to 38 732 t in 2021 due to increased milk production at processing plants and the emergence of new segments of natural concentrated milk without sugar. However, the full-scale war in Ukraine in 2022 led to a reduction in cattle numbers, a 17-19.5% drop in milk production, and severe logistics constraints, causing the market volume to plummet by 29.4% to 27 342 t.

In 2023, the official market continued to shrink, reaching 26 378 t, partly explained by the growth of the shadow milk market by more than 20%, which diverted some products from official accounting.

Production concentrated not sweetened milk and cream Ukraine

In kind, 2017-2020, t

Between 2017 and 2020, Ukraine ranked 13th globally in the production of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream.

Top producers of concentrated not sweetened milk and cream, 2017-2020

World map of production of concentrated not sweetened milk and cream, 2017-2020

Ukraine's production of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream declined for the third consecutive year. In 2020, the country produced 36 404 tonnes, marking a slight decrease of 6.6% compared to the previous year. Over the 2017-2020 period, production fell by 38%, with an average annual decline of 14.7%.

Annual dynamics of production Ukraine in kind, 2017-2020, t

Exports concentrated not sweetened milk and cream to Ukraine

Exports in kind, t

The market displayed volatility during the observed period. Exports fluctuated significantly, with a 30 295-fold difference between the peak in 2019 and the low in 2020. In 2020, Ukraine exported 0.0 tonnes of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream, representing a sharp 100.0% drop from the previous year. The highest export volume was recorded in 2019 at 324.2 tonnes, which saw an increase of 852 942.1%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports to Ukraine in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, Ukraine's exports of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream were almost entirely concentrated in Poland, which accounted for 98.6% of the total volume.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports to Ukraine in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

The data indicates irregular changes, reflecting a volatile market environment. Exports peaked in 2019 and reached their lowest point in 2020, with an 8 541-fold gap between these years. In 2020, Ukraine's cross-border shipments of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream amounted to 0.0 thousand US dollars, showing a dramatic decline of 100.0% compared to 2019. The maximum value was recorded in 2019 at 247.4 thousand US dollars, which increased by 93 995.5%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports to Ukraine in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Over the 2017-2020 period, Poland was the key and nearly exclusive market for Ukraine's exports of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream in value terms, representing 98.7% of total flows.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports to Ukraine in value, 2017-2020

Imports concentrated not sweetened milk and cream in Ukraine

Imports in kind, t

The market showed signs of volatility over the observed period. Imports varied by 188-fold between the maximum in 2020 and the minimum in 2018. In 2020, Ukraine imported 28.8 tonnes of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream, which was 2 145.1% higher than the previous year. The lowest import volume was recorded in 2018 at 0.2 tonnes, with a decline of 63.9% that year.

Annual dynamics of product's imports in Ukraine in kind, 2017-2020, t

From 2017 to 2020, Ukraine's imports of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream in kind were primarily sourced from Poland and Belarus, which together accounted for 100.0% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports in Ukraine in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

The market exhibited an unstable trend throughout the timeframe. Imports peaked in 2020 and hit their lowest point in 2018, with a 165-fold difference between these years. In 2020, Ukraine imported a total of 37.4 thousand US dollars of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream, up by 1 739.4% year-over-year. The minimum value was recorded in 2018 at 0.2 thousand US dollars, which decreased by 63.4% that year.

Annual dynamics of product's imports in Ukraine in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Between 2017 and 2020, Poland and Belarus formed the core of Ukraine's imports of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream in value terms, together making up 100.0% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports in Ukraine in value, 2017-2020