Concentrated not sweetened milk and cream market in Madagascar

Earlier Report Observations

The market for concentrated not sweetened milk and cream in Madagascar declined from 962.6 t in 2018 to 841.4 t in 2020, pressured by a sixfold increase in imports of milk powder and concentrate that intensified competition for local producers. During this phase, the public Malagasy Dairy Board began coordinating the dairy sector, and the EU-funded ASA Lait project launched to improve local milk supply and distribution.

A turning point came in 2020 with the imposition of a provisional 32% anti-dumping duty on imported concentrated milk, aimed at protecting domestic manufacturers. Market volume then recovered to 863.5 t in 2021 before contracting sharply to 676.1 t in 2022, a period without reported major regulatory or market events.

In 2023, the enforcement of a permanent 32% additional customs duty on all concentrated milk imports helped revive domestic production, pushing market size up to 766.2 t. Underlying the entire period is the structural constraint of very low milk consumption in Madagascar, which is five times lower than the African average and limits overall demand.

Production concentrated not sweetened milk and cream in Madagascar

In kind, 2017-2020, t

Top producers of concentrated not sweetened milk and cream, 2017-2020

World map of production of concentrated not sweetened milk and cream, 2017-2020

Production of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream in Madagascar fell for the second year in a row. In 2020, Madagascar produced 837.6 tonnes, marking a slight decrease of 0.6% compared to the previous year. From 2017 to 2020, production dropped by 12.3%, which translates to an average annual decline of 4.3%. The most significant decrease occurred in 2019, at 11.8%, while 2018 saw no change, with production remaining stable.

Annual dynamics of production in Madagascar in kind, 2017-2020, t

Exports concentrated not sweetened milk and cream from Madagascar

Exports in kind, kg

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Madagascar in kind, 2017-2020, kg

From 2017 to 2020, France was the primary export partner for Madagascar in terms of volume, representing 100.0% of total exports.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Madagascar in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, $ US

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Madagascar in value, 2017-2020, $ US

During the 2017–2020 period, France served as the key and nearly exclusive market for Madagascar's exports of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream in value terms, accounting for 100.0% of total export flows.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Madagascar in value, 2017-2020

Imports concentrated not sweetened milk and cream to Madagascar

Imports in kind, kg

Imports of concentrated unsweetened milk and cream into Madagascar declined for the second consecutive year. In 2020, Madagascar imported {value_last_year} kg, reflecting a sharp decrease of 27.5% from the prior year. Over the 2017–2020 period, imports fell by 16.4%, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -5.8%. The highest import volume was recorded in 2018 at 7 362 kg. The largest decline occurred in 2019, dropping by 28.9%, while the biggest increase was in 2018, rising by 62.1%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Madagascar in kind, 2017-2020, kg

Throughout 2017–2020, France remained the main source for Madagascar's imports in volume, accounting for 86.6% of total imports, with the rest distributed among various smaller markets.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Madagascar in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, $ US

The value of imports for concentrated unsweetened milk and cream into Madagascar fell for the second year in a row. In 2020, Madagascar imported {value_last_year} US dollars worth, representing a 35.3% decline from the previous year. Between 2017 and 2020, imports decreased by 45.4%, equating to an average annual rate of -18.3%. The peak value was in 2018 at 26 558 US dollars. The largest drop was in 2019, at 38.9%, while the biggest increase occurred in 2018, rising by 38.1%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Madagascar in value, 2017-2020, $ US

From 2017 to 2020, France dominated the import structure in value terms for Madagascar, consistently making up 92.0% of total import flows.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Madagascar in value, 2017-2020