Coffee, husks, skins and substitutes market in Mexico

Earlier Report Observations

The Mexican coffee market showed initial resilience with domestic consumption at 96.8 thousand tons in 2018, supported by a 55.1% increase in coffee shop openings over the previous five years and the extension of import quotas for coffee capsules to bolster bean production. However, market volume dipped to 89.8 thousand tons in 2019 as increased exports offset rising domestic output.

The COVID-19 pandemic severely impacted out-of-home consumption, causing market volume to contract to 72.8 thousand tons in 2020 due to café closures and a 25% drop in sales. A strong recovery followed in 2021, with volume jumping to 107.2 thousand tons driven by the reopening of points of sale, greater social mobility, and the entry of 5 000 new coffee businesses during the pandemic.

Legislative actions shaped the market in 2022, including the Sustainable Coffee Farming Development Law and the origin designation standard for Café Pluma, while market volume slightly eased to 103.8 thousand tons. Growth resumed in 2023, reaching 127.0 thousand tons, fueled by rising domestic consumption, expanded specialty coffee segments, and modern coffee machine adoption. The sector continued to expand through 2024-2025, supported by the International Coffee Agreement 2022 and growing exports, though faced persistent climatic and generational challenges.

Production coffee, husks, skins and substitutes in Mexico

In kind, 2018-2021, K t

On a global scale, Mexico ranked as the 13th largest producer of coffee, husks, skins, and substitutes from 2018 to 2021.

Top producers of coffee, husks, skins and substitutes, 2018-2021

World map of production of coffee, husks, skins and substitutes, 2018-2021

After two years of growth, Mexico's production of coffee, husks, skins, and substitutes declined. In 2021, the country produced 174.3 K t, marking a slight decrease of 0.7% compared to 2020. Over the period from 2018 to 2021, production increased by 10.1%, which translates to an annualized growth rate of 3.3%. The peak production was recorded in 2020 at 175.6 K t, with the largest annual increase of 5.9% also occurring that year.

Annual dynamics of production in Mexico in kind, 2018-2021, K t

Exports coffee, husks, skins and substitutes from Mexico

Exports in kind, K t

Following two years of growth, Mexico's exports of coffee, husks, skins, and substitutes declined. In 2021, exports totaled 82.6 K t, representing a sharp decrease of 30.3% compared to the previous year. From 2018 to 2021, exports increased by 8.5%, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.8%. The highest export volume was recorded in 2020 at 118.6 K t, while the largest annual increase of 30.1% occurred in 2019.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Mexico in kind, 2018-2021, K t

From 2018 to 2021, the United States was the primary buyer of coffee, husks, skins, and substitutes from Mexico, accounting for 71.2% of total exports in volume. The remaining share was distributed among a diverse group of other countries.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's exports from Mexico in kind, 2018-2021

Exports in value, M $ US

Mexico's exports of coffee, husks, skins, and substitutes in value terms increased for the second consecutive year. In 2021, exports reached 313.2 M $ US, up by 4.1% compared to the previous year. Over the period from 2018 to 2021, exports grew by 21.6%, with a CAGR of 6.7%. The lowest value was recorded in 2019 at 246.9 M $ US, which also saw the largest decline of 4.1%. In contrast, the largest increase of 21.8% occurred in 2020.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Mexico in value, 2018-2021, M $ US

From 2018 to 2021, the United States dominated Mexico's exports in value terms, capturing 73.7% of total flows. Other countries collectively accounted for the remaining share.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's exports from Mexico in value, 2018-2021

Imports coffee, husks, skins and substitutes to Mexico

Imports in kind, K t

Mexico's imports of coffee, husks, skins, and substitutes in volume declined for the second year in a row. In 2021, imports amounted to 15.5 K t, down by 2.1% compared to 2020. Between 2018 and 2021, imports increased by 5.7%, equating to an annualized rate of 1.9%. The peak import volume was recorded in 2019 at 23.1 K t, which also experienced the largest annual increase of 58.3%. The largest decline of 31.7% occurred in 2020.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Mexico in kind, 2018-2021, K t

From 2018 to 2021, Brazil, the United States, and Vietnam were the leading sources for Mexico's imports of coffee, husks, skins, and substitutes in volume. Brazil accounted for 46.1%, the United States for 19.7%, and Vietnam for 16.6% of imports, combining for a total share of 82.4% of all flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's imports to Mexico in kind, 2018-2021

Imports in value, M $ US

Mexico's imports of coffee, husks, skins, and substitutes in value terms declined for the second consecutive year. In 2021, imports reached 53.7 M $ US, reflecting a significant drop of 15.5% compared to the previous year. Between 2018 and 2021, imports decreased by 21.6%, with an annualized decline rate of 7.8%. The highest value was recorded in 2019 at 94.6 M $ US, which also saw the largest increase of 37.9%. The largest decline of 32.8% occurred in 2020.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Mexico in value, 2018-2021, M $ US

From 2018 to 2021, three key markets—the United States, Brazil, and Vietnam—collectively accounted for 74.8% of Mexico's total imports in value terms for coffee, husks, skins, and substitutes.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2018-2021

World map of product's imports to Mexico in value, 2018-2021