Oats market in Kazakhstan

Earlier Report Observations

The oat market in Kazakhstan began the period at 324.4 thousand tons in 2018, supported by steady domestic demand and a boost from record oat exports to markets like Norway, Afghanistan, Uzbekistan, and Ukraine. This export growth stimulated the sector and helped maintain initial production levels.

From 2019 to 2021, the market volume contracted, falling to 182.5 thousand tons by 2021. In 2022, the market rebounded to 229.2 thousand tons, partly due to rising global oat demand, which encouraged Kazakh producers to increase output.

The recovery was short-lived, as the market shrank sharply to 144.1 thousand tons in 2023. Moving into 2024, the oat sector saw further export expansion and regulatory updates, including a new public procurement law and tax code amendments, which may influence future market dynamics.

Production oats in Kazakhstan

In kind, 2017-2020, K t

From 2017 to 2020, Kazakhstan ranked 20th globally in oat production.

Top producers of oats, 2017-2020

World map of production of oats, 2017-2020

Oat production in Kazakhstan declined for the second consecutive year. In 2020, the country produced 240.2 K t of oats, down 10.1% from 2019. Over the 2017-2020 period, production decreased by 15.6%, with a compound annual growth rate of -5.5%. The highest production level was recorded in 2018 at 336.1 K t. The largest year-over-year decline occurred in 2019 at 20.6%, while the biggest increase was in 2018 at 18.1%.

Annual dynamics of production in Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020, K t

Exports oats from Kazakhstan

Exports in kind, t

The market showed significant volatility during these years. Export volumes reached their lowest point in 2020 and peaked in 2019, with a 2.6-fold difference between these extremes. In 2020, Kazakhstan exported 8 689 t of oats abroad, representing a sharp decline of 61.8% from the previous year. The maximum export volume was recorded in 2019 at 22 741 t, which also saw the largest increase at 82.0%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020, t

Between 2017 and 2020, three key markets—Afghanistan, Norway, and Uzbekistan—collectively accounted for 75.6% of Kazakhstan's total oat exports by volume.

Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020

Exports in value, K $ US

The market displayed an unstable trend throughout this period. The lowest export value was observed in 2017, while the highest occurred in 2019, with a peak-to-trough ratio of 3 times. In 2020, Kazakhstan exported 1 549 K $ US worth of oats, marking a steep contraction of 60.9% from 2019. The maximum value was recorded in 2019 at 3 959 K $ US, which also experienced the largest increase at 172.6%.

Annual dynamics of product's exports from Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

From 2017 to 2020, Norway (33.3% of export value), Afghanistan (29.0% of export value), and Russia (12.9% of export value) led as the top buyers of Kazakh oats, together representing 75.2% of total export value.

Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's exports from Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020

Imports oats to Kazakhstan

Imports in kind, t

Market performance showed noticeable fluctuations during this period. Import volumes varied significantly, reaching their lowest point in 2017 and peaking in 2019, with an 8.4-fold difference between these years. In 2020, foreign oat supplies to Kazakhstan totaled 894 t, indicating a drop of 52.9% compared to 2019. The maximum import volume was recorded in 2019 at 1 899 t, while the largest increase occurred in 2018 at 220.7%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020, t

Between 2017 and 2020, Russia dominated oat imports to Kazakhstan by volume, accounting for 98.9% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Kazakhstan in kind, 2017-2020

Imports in value, K $ US

Imported oat volumes in Kazakhstan increased for the third consecutive year. In 2020, imports reached 235 K $ US, showing a robust rise of 22.2% compared to 2019. From 2017 to 2020, imports grew by 280.4%, equating to an annualized rate of 56.1%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Over the 2017-2020 period, the geographical pattern of oat imports by value was primarily determined by Russia and Canada, which together accounted for 100.0% of total flows.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

World map of product's imports to Kazakhstan in value, 2017-2020