Market research

Milk and cream market in Timor-Leste

Release date: Mar 27, 2026

Submission: 15 minutes after payment

Research period: 2017-2025

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Earlier Report Observations

From 2018 to 2022, the milk and cream market in Timor-Leste expanded steadily, with volume rising from 6 263 t to 7 453 t. This growth was initially driven by the government's strategic plan to shift from subsistence to market agriculture and by NGO Pro-Ema's culinary training programs promoting local agri-food products, which enhanced local production and consumption. Although consumer price inflation reached 3.8% in 2021 and 7.2% in 2022, affecting costs and consumer behavior, the market continued to grow, albeit at a slower pace in 2022.

In 2023, market volume fell to 6 783 t, a drop of 9% from the previous year. This decline coincided with the approval of amendments to the decree-law on the legal regime for marketing breast milk substitutes, which tightened regulation for dairy products. At the same time, government actions to strengthen the private sector and rural development, along with ongoing local product promotion, provided some support but could not offset the downward pressure.

Table of content

1. Disclaimer
2. Terms of use of the report
3. Product codes in the statistical classifications used in the report
4. Key Market Indicators and Trends
1. 4.1. Key Market Indicators
  1. 4.1.1. In kind
    1. 4.1.1.1. Production, 2018-2023
    2. 4.1.1.2. Imports, 2018-2024
    3. 4.1.1.3. Exports, 2018-2024
    4. 4.1.1.4. Market size, 2018-2023
2. 4.2. Market Trends and Factors
5. Production
1. 5.1. Production in Timor-Leste
  1. 5.1.1. Annual dynamics of production in Timor-Leste in kind, 2018-2023, t
  2. 5.1.2. Annual dynamics of production in Timor-Leste in value, 2018-2023, $ US
2. 5.2. Global production by Country, 2018-2023
  1. 5.2.1. Annual dynamics of production by macroregions in kind, 2018-2023, t
  2. 5.2.2. Dynamics of production structure by macroregions in kind, 2018-2023
  3. 5.2.3. Annual dynamics of production by country in kind, 2018-2023, t
  4. 5.2.4. Structure of production by countries in kind, 2018-2023
  5. 5.2.5. Dynamics of peoduction structure by countries in kind, 2018-2023
6. Imports
1. 6.1. Imports (Direct Data*)
  1. 6.1.1. Imports - Total information
  2. 6.1.2. Imports in kind, t
    1. 6.1.2.1. Annual dynamics of product's imports to Timor-Leste in kind, 2018-2024, t
    2. 6.1.2.2. Dynamics of product's imports in kind to Timor-Leste by countries, 2018-2024, t
    3. 6.1.2.3. Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2018-2024
  3. 6.1.3. Imports in value, K $ US
    1. 6.1.3.1. Annual dynamics of product's imports to Timor-Leste in value, 2018-2024, K $ US
    2. 6.1.3.2. Dynamics of product's imports in value to Timor-Leste by countries, 2018-2024, K $ US
    3. 6.1.3.3. Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2018-2024
  4. 6.1.4. Average price of product's imports, $ US/t
    1. 6.1.4.1. Annual dynamics of average price of product's imports to Timor-Leste, 2018-2024, $ US/t
    2. 6.1.4.2. Dynamics of average price of product's imports to Timor-Leste by countries, 2018-2024, $ US/t
2. 6.2. Imports (Mirror Data)
  1. 6.2.1. Imports - Total information
  2. 6.2.2. Imports in kind, t
    1. 6.2.2.1. Annual dynamics of product's imports to Timor-Leste in kind, 2018-2024, t
    2. 6.2.2.2. Dynamics of product's imports in kind to Timor-Leste by countries, 2018-2024, t
    3. 6.2.2.3. Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2018-2024
  3. 6.2.3. Imports in value, K $ US
    1. 6.2.3.1. Annual dynamics of product's imports to Timor-Leste in value, 2018-2024, K $ US
    2. 6.2.3.2. Dynamics of product's imports in value to Timor-Leste by countries, 2018-2024, K $ US
    3. 6.2.3.3. Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2018-2024
  4. 6.2.4. Average price of product's imports, $ US/t
    1. 6.2.4.1. Annual dynamics of average price of product's imports to Timor-Leste, 2018-2024, $ US/t
    2. 6.2.4.2. Dynamics of average price of product's imports to Timor-Leste by countries, 2018-2024, $ US/t
7. Exports
1. 7.1. Exports (Direct Data*)
  1. 7.1.1. Exports - Total information
  2. 7.1.2. Exports in kind, t
    1. 7.1.2.1. Annual dynamics of product's exports from Timor-Leste in kind, 2018-2024, t
    2. 7.1.2.2. Dynamics of product's exports in kind from Timor-Leste by countries, 2018-2024, t
    3. 7.1.2.3. Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2018-2024
  3. 7.1.3. Exports in value, K $ US
    1. 7.1.3.1. Annual dynamics of product's exports from Timor-Leste in value, 2018-2024, K $ US
    2. 7.1.3.2. Dynamics of product's exports in value from Timor-Leste by countries, 2018-2024, K $ US
    3. 7.1.3.3. Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2018-2024
  4. 7.1.4. Average price of product's exports, $ US/t
    1. 7.1.4.1. Annual dynamics of average price of product's exports from Timor-Leste, 2018-2024, $ US/t
    2. 7.1.4.2. Dynamics of average price of product's exports from Timor-Leste by countries, 2018-2024, $ US/t
2. 7.2. Exports (Mirror Data)
  1. 7.2.1. Exports - Total information
  2. 7.2.2. Exports in kind, t
    1. 7.2.2.1. Annual dynamics of product's exports from Timor-Leste in kind, 2018-2024, t
    2. 7.2.2.2. Dynamics of product's exports in kind from Timor-Leste by countries, 2018-2024, t
    3. 7.2.2.3. Structure of product's exports in kind by countries, 2018-2024
  3. 7.2.3. Exports in value, K $ US
    1. 7.2.3.1. Annual dynamics of product's exports from Timor-Leste in value, 2018-2024, K $ US
    2. 7.2.3.2. Dynamics of product's exports in value from Timor-Leste by countries, 2018-2024, K $ US
    3. 7.2.3.3. Structure of product's exports in value by countries, 2018-2024
  4. 7.2.4. Average price of product's exports, $ US/t
    1. 7.2.4.1. Annual dynamics of average price of product's exports from Timor-Leste, 2018-2024, $ US/t
    2. 7.2.4.2. Dynamics of average price of product's exports from Timor-Leste by countries, 2018-2024, $ US/t
8. Trade balance
1. 8.1. Trade balance (Direct Data)
  1. 8.1.1. In kind, t
  2. 8.1.2. In value, K $ US
2. 8.2. Trade balance (Mirror Data)
  1. 8.2.1. In kind, t
  2. 8.2.2. In value, K $ US
9. Top buying and selling countries, 2018-2024
1. 9.1. Direct Data
  1. 9.1.1. Import in Value by Countries-buyers
  2. 9.1.2. Export in Value by Countries-suppliers
2. 9.2. Mirror Data
  1. 9.2.1. Import in Value by Countries-buyers
  2. 9.2.2. Export in Value by Countries-suppliers

Production milk and cream in Timor-Leste

In kind, 2017-2020, t

Top producers of milk and cream, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

World map of production of milk and cream, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

Milk and cream production in Timor-Leste increased for the second consecutive year. In 2020, production reached 6 059 tonnes, marking a 3.4% increase compared to 2019. Looking at the period from 2017 to 2020, overall production grew by 2.3%, which translates to an annualized growth rate of 0.8%. The lowest production level was recorded in 2018 at 5 699 tonnes, which also saw the largest decline of 3.8% during this period.

Annual dynamics of production in Timor-Leste in kind, 2017-2020, t

Parameter		2018	2019	2020	CAGR
1	Change from last year	(3.8%)	2.8%	3.4%	0.8%

Source: SHEV.io

Exports milk and cream from Timor-Leste

Desk-based market analysis indicates that Timor-Leste did not export any milk or cream between 2017 and 2020.

Imports milk and cream to Timor-Leste

Imports in kind, t

In 2020, Timor-Leste's imports of milk and cream reached 736.9 tonnes, showing a sharp year-over-year increase of 48.3%. Over the four-year period from 2017 to 2020, imports grew by 73%, equivalent to an annualized rate of 20.0%. The largest decline occurred in 2019, with imports dropping by 11.9%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Timor-Leste in kind, 2017-2020, t

Parameter		2018	2019	2020	CAGR
1	Change from last year	32.4%	(11.9%)	48.3%	20.0%

Source: SHEV.io

From 2017 to 2020, Australia, Indonesia, and New Zealand consistently dominated Timor-Leste's milk and cream imports in volume terms, collectively accounting for 89.4% of total imports.

Structure of product's imports in kind by countries, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

World map of product's imports to Timor-Leste in kind, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

Imports in value, K $ US

The market displayed volatility during the observed period. Imports in value terms reached their lowest point in 2017 and peaked in 2020, with a 2.1-fold difference between these years. In 2020, the value of milk and cream imports into Timor-Leste totaled 864.9 thousand US dollars, representing a 19.3% increase from the previous year. The largest decline occurred in 2019 at 6.0%, while the largest increase was recorded in 2018 at 91.0%.

Annual dynamics of product's imports to Timor-Leste in value, 2017-2020, K $ US

Parameter		2018	2019	2020	CAGR
1	Change from last year	91.0%	(6.0%)	19.3%	28.9%

Source: SHEV.io

Between 2017 and 2020, Indonesia, Australia, and New Zealand were the primary sources of Timor-Leste's milk and cream imports in value terms. Indonesia accounted for 47.5% of import value, Australia for 31.7%, and New Zealand for 9.7%, together making up 88.9% of total import value.

Structure of product's imports in value by countries, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io

World map of product's imports to Timor-Leste in value, 2017-2020

Source: SHEV.io